Movies · resolved market

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbddbcebf7c3ff2a89b48ff1563f2175522b4804f43f7502e477d0f290cb8519

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 20, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $193,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $138,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,437 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8192…0664backed Yes	0c	13,073$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.55	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0218…52c0backed Yes	0c	11,348$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.64	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-87.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed Yes	1c	10,734$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.71	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba0…a750backed Yes	0c	10,461$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ef…be38backed Yes	5c	8,565$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.09	60	28.3%17 W · 43 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	32c	6,312$2,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,024	177	51.4%91 W · 86 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	2c	5,875$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.56	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes	18c	4,775$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$873.61	285	24.2%69 W · 216 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed No	79c	4,371$3,436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$934.97	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	0c	4,099$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.48	1,393	8%111 W · 1,282 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee41…e7bebacked Yes	1c	3,800$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4620…cb19backed Yes	1c	3,790$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd4…c1c0backed Yes	18c	3,178$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.51	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	8c	3,087$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.74	47	21.3%10 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…b1fdbacked Yes	1c	2,488$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891e…c1c9backed Yes	1c	2,401$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1b…c826backed Yes	2c	2,153$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.82	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff29…ea96backed Yes	0c	2,149$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5792…7731backed Yes	2c	2,051$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.28	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-81.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…46e6backed Yes	16c	2,001$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.25	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa88d…221cbacked Yes	1c	1,976$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.74	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f2f…b226backed Yes	12c	1,777$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.24	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	1,650$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.25	278	1.8%5 W · 273 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Yes	20c	1,629$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.3	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes	1c	1,453$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	48	8.3%4 W · 44 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-54%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed No	65c	1,327$857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.26	187	46%86 W · 101 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-20%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77e…098abacked Yes	21c	1,320$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.1	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fae…5d6dbacked Yes	3c	1,300$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-50%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed No	80c	1,245$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.3	285	28.8%82 W · 203 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	2c	1,216$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.14	210	9.5%20 W · 190 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	4c	1,107$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.05	90	1.1%1 W · 89 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	6cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	10c	1,042$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.19	473	28.3%134 W · 339 L	-32.8wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5c7…5510backed Yes	15c	1,006$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.55	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes	21c	1,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	58	31%18 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7db…feb0backed Yes	13c	999.87$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.98	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-38%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	17c	949.09$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.08	105	49.5%52 W · 53 L	+6.5wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cd9…d4c9backed Yes	24c	840.6$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-60%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa485…9b3dbacked Yes	1c	836.67$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	9c	775.36$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.89	201	3.5%7 W · 194 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3400…14eebacked Yes	2c	771.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.42	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	733.32$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	137	35%48 W · 89 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	6c	731.42$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.26	204	2.9%6 W · 198 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+4.3wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5440…edd4backed Yes	15c	712.67$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.39	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bca…b60abacked Yes	8c	600$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.2	114	21.9%25 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb856…8fb6backed Yes	2c	596.83$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.66	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	5c	575.69$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.6	116	4.3%5 W · 111 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11c8…be84backed No	80c	546.66$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.34	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No	80c	523.59$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.43	131	30.5%40 W · 91 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	5c	505$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	61	4.9%3 W · 58 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed No	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-20%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426e…acd0backed Yes	18c	499.99$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	36	8.3%3 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33f8…c5e4backed No	64c	492.52$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.35	294	23.5%69 W · 225 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-43%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9906…c0aebacked Yes	3c	430$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.06	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x857a…bcbbbacked Yes	21c	400.71$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.03	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fec…728ebacked Yes	10c	400$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No	79c	363.66$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.81	162	37.7%61 W · 101 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes	20c	351.55$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.69	264	31.1%82 W · 182 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f3…c91fbacked Yes	19c	339.99$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.8	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	8c	332.53$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.98	135	34.8%47 W · 88 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94b0…9d34backed Yes	14c	324.78$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	9c	300$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	93	4.3%4 W · 89 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e2…bb87backed Yes	10c	298.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1baa…173dbacked Yes	19c	250$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6680…c738backed Yes	23c	242.36$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.27	105	44.8%47 W · 58 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes	23c	204.14$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	170	17.1%29 W · 141 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fb…57e5backed Yes	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+64.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9da…f9debacked Yes	19c	192.18$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.47	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	+63.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x875e…e6b5backed Yes	17c	187.79$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.86	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+3.9wins	+0.19per pick	26cpaid	+61.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x510e…641fbacked Yes	22c	181.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2eb…c299backed Yes	6c	170$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ac…f0c1backed Yes	19c	168$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.92	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31de…03ffbacked Yes	15c	145.7$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.14	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf434…c6aabacked No	63c	141$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.5	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd6…c69cbacked Yes	30c	131.24$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…54b3backed Yes	8c	128.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked No	71c	125.87$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.27	136	50%68 W · 68 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes	27c	111.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	76	27.6%21 W · 55 L	-6.9wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-43%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	20c	100.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.12	230	41.7%96 W · 134 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d1…0814backed Yes	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.74	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1851…ae47backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	16cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1099…2c19backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	29c	99.25$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.39	1,218	17.8%217 W · 1,001 L	-124.0wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes	17c	93.74$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	108	27.8%30 W · 78 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9206…c0dfbacked Yes	22c	91.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae49…6323backed No	49c	86.34$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.87	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+76.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…2d9fbacked No	79c	85$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.85	151	49%74 W · 77 L	+10.6wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No	80c	80.36$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.16	101	39.6%40 W · 61 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20a3…24d2backed Yes	15c	79.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.21	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes	23c	77.95$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.06	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	19c	76.08$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	484	14%68 W · 416 L	-39.3wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf85…4f9cbacked Yes	21c	71.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fdc3backed Yes	24c	62.48$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	20c	52$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	870	33.3%290 W · 580 L	-77.0wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde9a…a41fbacked Yes	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-24%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9501…6cf1backed Yes	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ca…4ac0backed No	79c	20.48$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.3	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	72cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e7f…1bd6backed No	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?this page
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?Yes won
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?No won
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 16m?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event