TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6bca…b60a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
337
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Boxing, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT11421.9%25 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.02
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$79.73
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+215%+$89.42
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 144m and 152m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.55
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.07
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.93
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 10.5m and 11.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will "I Love Boosters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$76
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.9
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.35
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+111%+$87.9
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.27
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.06
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT8045%36 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.97
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.7
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.6
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.5
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$35.1
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)backed Korea Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$24.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 4 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$36.7
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29.9
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.16
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+120.9%+$27.78
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.06
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Will Danil "donk" Kryshkovets win the HLTV Player of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29.08
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+216.8%+$143.01
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$94.7
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+170.9%+$78.48
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$27.37
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$196.32
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$34.2
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$12
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$65.3
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$432.97
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$28.16
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$64.73
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.6
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+286.1%+$125.96
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$34.01
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltonbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$11.7
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$25.2
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+71.3%+$33.3
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.4
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+110.7%+$28.9
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16.55
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Wild vs. Jetsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.3
Oilers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Flames vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Kings vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Rangers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+100%+$25
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+63.9%+$11.7
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$18.57
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+56.3%+$10.8
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$18
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-60.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.9
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$370.91
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.04
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+95.3%+$24.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$28.8
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$92.24
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+121.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+1,983.3%+$308.21
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.69
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$28.4
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+85.2%+$15.64
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$32.24
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$43.13
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$18.33
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16.13
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$54.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+142.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+107.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+60.6%+$20.75
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+389.1%+$58.58
Charlotte 49ers vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. Louisville: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Old Dominion (-10.5)backed Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$25.15
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+140.4%+$21.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$240.75
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$349.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+43.5%+$6.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$34.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.