Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba18c446da46c0161f4d6b2231ac64e3efb691a1f6a3817f301a49fde21f99be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5664…f163backed No | 78c | 9,962$7,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.97 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,589$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb26…d418backed Yes | 7c | 2,400$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…e7f9backed Yes | 25c | 1,887$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.17 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c9…8072backed No | 75c | 1,879$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 1,845$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…b6e0backed Yes | 4c | 1,542$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…9effbacked Yes | 60c | 1,514$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.52 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,340$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.68 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed No | 51c | 1,273$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.75 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,272$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,179$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.84 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…14dcbacked Yes | 51c | 1,060$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…c5a4backed Yes | 15c | 1,022$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.78 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes | 41c | 958$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.78 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 55c | 900$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 835.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 2c | 799.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9939…d3bebacked Yes | 7c | 795.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d4…7a70backed Yes | 31c | 785.04$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 2c | 753.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 748.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 46c | 653.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed Yes | 6c | 647.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 70c | 572.41$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.41 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…4bffbacked No | 59c | 539$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Yes | 77c | 513.3$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 2c | 491.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c3…0783backed Yes | 53c | 491.11$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.98 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…3efcbacked Yes | 7c | 465.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…6741backed No | 59c | 419$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…97e9backed Yes | 53c | 388.07$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.99 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 61c | 367.97$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.75 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 59c | 356.64$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.88 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8440…a714backed Yes | 47c | 328.89$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.98 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…a94fbacked Yes | 8c | 318.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…e251backed Yes | 66c | 303.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 40c | 299.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.49 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 71c | 287.97$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…4c72backed Yes | 23c | 276.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +10.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…ae29backed Yes | 41c | 267.31$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 171 | 28.7%49 W · 122 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897f…13ffbacked No | 54c | 258.84$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 58c | 256.85$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…2fb2backed No | 40c | 249.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 15c | 243.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…a41cbacked Yes | 12c | 240$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 64c | 232.13$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d3…6781backed No | 41c | 228$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…9530backed Yes | 67c | 227.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.93 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 11c | 223.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Yes | 34c | 223$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6355…8edfbacked No | 45c | 222.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…bed0backed Yes | 46c | 219.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 61c | 216.19$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.95 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 210.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…171abacked No | 59c | 207.46$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…c41ebacked Yes | 48c | 206.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…4268backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 21.6%16 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…ab80backed No | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…92b9backed Yes | 12c | 180.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 24c | 166.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x6988…9f4ebacked No | 67c | 164.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fac…63f8backed Yes | 57c | 162.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 50c | 162.22$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…4071backed No | 32c | 154.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…7f72backed Yes | 75c | 133.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 56c | 132.32$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 60c | 128$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…e887backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…9a7cbacked No | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 14c | 115.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…e3a2backed No | 30c | 106.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 144 | 20.8%30 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 42c | 105.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…3feabacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +333.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…62ccbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 40c | 94.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | -12.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…e333backed Yes | 37c | 89.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 188 | 33.5%63 W · 125 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…0cf6backed No | 60c | 88.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…8fbbbacked No | 49c | 87.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…5f64backed Yes | 57c | 87.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…9c41backed No | 55c | 87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 60cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed Yes | 55c | 85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…2d74backed No | 36c | 82.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…4623backed Yes | 38c | 82.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed No | 76c | 81.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc5…866bbacked No | 75c | 76.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…3272backed No | 50c | 75.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1e…0a48backed No | 36c | 75.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c5…ada8backed No | 44c | 72.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…aa48backed Yes | 23c | 67.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed No | 31c | 66.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…d4eebacked Yes | 56c | 62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…31e4backed No | 61c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…c543backed Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb543…9961backed No | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…6720backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.