Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3178632ab2f8742b9658842d36c9ba0a9ea590c9429b3047dc76a2bc11033ca8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 1c | 4,398$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b33…9a34backed Yes | 75c | 3,995$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…797cbacked Yes | 57c | 3,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e3…00dabacked Yes | 20c | 2,538$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 22c | 2,385$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.25 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x1000…7bdcbacked No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,749$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.36 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 27c | 1,215$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.48 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 40c | 1,107$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.74 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…27e6backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 41c | 997.71$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.21 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked No | 57c | 966$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6988…9f4ebacked No | 70c | 954.53$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.51 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…b863backed No | 79c | 832.7$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked Yes | 43c | 830$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x926a…3b1ebacked No | 56c | 806$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 44c | 806$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.64 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed Yes | 37c | 697$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…aa1abacked No | 63c | 548$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 60c | 543.19$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.28 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed Yes | 37c | 492$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f183backed No | 63c | 492$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 28c | 460.87$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Yes | 36c | 458.75$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…c0d4backed Yes | 47c | 457$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked No | 53c | 457$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed No | 63c | 453$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.61 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6962…745ebacked No | 62c | 447.16$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.16 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed No | 61c | 425$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes | 39c | 425$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked Yes | 38c | 421$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…a320backed No | 62c | 421$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.98 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked Yes | 36c | 420$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…8aaabacked Yes | 36c | 413.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 17.3%13 W · 62 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed No | 57c | 413$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 37c | 390$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 63c | 390$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…fb20backed No | 50c | 331.02$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.51 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 55c | 303.59$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.83 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…c6eabacked No | 67c | 296.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…457bbacked No | 75c | 296.29$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7252…9e6dbacked No | 62c | 295.51$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked No | 69c | 291.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…1e5dbacked Yes | 37c | 281$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…3591backed No | 71c | 279.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…307fbacked No | 73c | 274.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 39c | 250.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…5790backed Yes | 49c | 244.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked No | 63c | 244$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…59e9backed No | 61c | 242.28$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed Yes | 37c | 237.49$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 231.66$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…0d52backed Yes | 47c | 228$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed Yes | 37c | 221.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 164 | 33.5%55 W · 109 L | -19.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…8f3cbacked Yes | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…23bebacked Yes | 41c | 198.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…23aebacked Yes | 46c | 190.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…43e9backed Yes | 36c | 187$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c19…77cdbacked No | 63c | 176$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 47c | 166$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…5ed0backed No | 63c | 159.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…4c39backed No | 63c | 158.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…e58fbacked Yes | 64c | 155.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…e27abacked Yes | 24c | 150.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…2611backed No | 60c | 149.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 35c | 143.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…3110backed No | 70c | 143.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ed…4911backed Yes | 46c | 137.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes | 43c | 136$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 59c | 135.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc424…ebc9backed No | 75c | 134.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed No | 53c | 127$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…1e59backed No | 71c | 121.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…a4c0backed Yes | 32c | 120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…fc01backed No | 64c | 113$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 39c | 109.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b38…5623backed No | 68c | 103.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed No | 65c | 100.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4d…bf6fbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…ef31backed No | 62c | 95.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d90…b960backed No | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked No | 62c | 91.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…145abacked No | 69c | 88.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 68c | 87.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed No | 49c | 87.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 62c | 85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 40c | 83.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…8e18backed Yes | 43c | 81.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…44acbacked No | 64c | 81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…e76cbacked No | 38c | 81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…22e4backed Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +11.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 31c | 79.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef7…21bebacked Yes | 25c | 78.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 36c | 76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed No | 62c | 74.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 38c | 72.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.