Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cb4724abb870431a40a40df3e86f61b10e19f64ab8171469efb6a47483cf183
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3850…4c39backed No | 8c | 9,206$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d05…d278backed No | 1c | 3,218$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 3c | 2,106$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…d8a0backed No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 37c | 1,953$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.79 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 37c | 1,684$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.1 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 79c | 1,658$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.88 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,139$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.09 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…b2efbacked Yes | 47c | 1,010$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.3 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked Yes | 47c | 950$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed Yes | 49c | 914.72$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.72 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…3764backed Yes | 34c | 903$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.98 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…f2f3backed No | 15c | 839.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked Yes | 46c | 832$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6988…9f4ebacked No | 62c | 808$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 18c | 722$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.18 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed No | 62c | 684$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…cd36backed No | 66c | 633$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked No | 53c | 623$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 61c | 609.99$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.4 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…fb20backed No | 50c | 599.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked Yes | 35c | 589$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed No | 65c | 589$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.85 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…d12abacked Yes | 65c | 580.2$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed No | 54c | 513$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed No | 53c | 513$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 26c | 460.24$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.67 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 48c | 449.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…bac4backed Yes | 71c | 421.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf86f…256fbacked Yes | 73c | 411.2$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…8f3cbacked Yes | 32c | 399.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed No | 53c | 399$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…99aabacked Yes | 38c | 365$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…ef31backed No | 52c | 357.68$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…20acbacked Yes | 60c | 341.22$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed Yes | 46c | 335$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.9 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked No | 54c | 335$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Yes | 60c | 333.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.77 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked No | 54c | 319$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.26 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 38c | 319$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.78 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…9effbacked Yes | 51c | 300.93$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.52 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked Yes | 46c | 273$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked No | 54c | 273$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…ccc1backed No | 58c | 270.37$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 58c | 270.28$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed No | 66c | 270$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 48c | 257.47$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c7e7backed Yes | 59c | 253.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f404backed No | 53c | 249$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed Yes | 36c | 245$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed No | 64c | 245$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 60c | 241.44$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.11 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 46c | 241.16$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 55c | 240.07$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.55 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…2e44backed No | 27c | 238.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…e333backed Yes | 61c | 219.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 188 | 33.5%63 W · 125 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…59c7backed Yes | 46c | 212.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 164 | 17.7%29 W · 135 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…9cd4backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.13 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Yes | 76c | 166.66$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 58c | 166.22$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 48c | 155.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e2…b51abacked No | 65c | 153.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…6dc9backed Yes | 56c | 152$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d90…b960backed No | 43c | 150.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7252…9e6dbacked No | 63c | 146.88$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…9756backed No | 61c | 139$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 44cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed Yes | 39c | 139$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x367a…d7c0backed No | 22c | 137.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7b…7d59backed No | 58c | 129.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd8…9b9dbacked No | 41c | 121.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0c32backed Yes | 49c | 116.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea5…ac86backed Yes | 61c | 114.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…2fe9backed Yes | 43c | 108.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Yes | 65c | 107$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 58c | 106.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…8f49backed Yes | 46c | 102.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 100.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 17c | 100.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3489…7fffbacked No | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…ae5fbacked No | 50c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 58c | 98.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 53c | 93.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…23bebacked Yes | 44c | 90.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…33afbacked Yes | 44c | 89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b0…1500backed No | 56c | 88.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda7…85e6backed No | 68c | 88.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 63c | 86.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aff…54ccbacked No | 61c | 85.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…e192backed Yes | 46c | 85.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…1e59backed No | 59c | 85.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 55c | 84.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed Yes | 37c | 82.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 164 | 33.5%55 W · 109 L | -19.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 63c | 82.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…5813backed No | 61c | 82.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.