Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba9bbcdb54364182f812f756012069e658b9ed9c2d277133f721a8c7b759d75d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2b1…d1a2backed No | 1c | 6,326$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7575…4380backed No | 2c | 5,992$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 4c | 3,390$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5236…ab18backed No | 35c | 1,952$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.27 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c9…8072backed No | 65c | 1,705$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 12c | 1,550$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 202 | 43.1%87 W · 115 L | +30.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked Yes | 33c | 1,416$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…f582backed No | 67c | 1,321$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 64c | 1,236$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.65 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 7c | 1,211$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…8902backed Yes | 69c | 1,114$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.47 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…46cebacked No | 54c | 1,071$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29e2…6dc5backed Yes | 46c | 1,046$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 1,024$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…aa1abacked No | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes | 46c | 911.24$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.07 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 26c | 853.56$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.85 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…5b6bbacked No | 52c | 797$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…644ebacked Yes | 46c | 782$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d3…6781backed No | 68c | 768.91$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.04 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…64a9backed Yes | 48c | 669.93$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.1 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Yes | 46c | 659$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed No | 54c | 647$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed Yes | 46c | 633$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.82 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked Yes | 46c | 609$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 33c | 605.43$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.34 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bca…53dcbacked Yes | 74c | 595.68$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…b418backed No | 54c | 527$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed No | 54c | 511$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Yes | 46c | 510$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.4 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…2cdbbacked No | 54c | 497$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c7…be6fbacked No | 54c | 477$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 46c | 475$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…af94backed No | 54c | 475$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…4d9abacked No | 66c | 470$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.67 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…4146backed Yes | 48c | 462$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…34e0backed No | 54c | 431$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a41…1160backed Yes | 34c | 423$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…7773backed No | 66c | 419$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.54 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed Yes | 35c | 415$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…b42cbacked No | 65c | 415$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…8f3cbacked Yes | 31c | 389.15$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.86 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0285…59d6backed Yes | 35c | 376$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed No | 17c | 374$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 67c | 360$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.2 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed Yes | 33c | 360$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 75c | 359.17$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked Yes | 46c | 331$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.44per pick | 37cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed Yes | 46c | 307$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.78 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…85cdbacked No | 54c | 307$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…6e13backed Yes | 46c | 303$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 54c | 302$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.08 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 46c | 300$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…c5a4backed Yes | 33c | 298.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.76 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f80…7be8backed Yes | 70c | 287.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 34c | 280.54$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.54 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed Yes | 46c | 268$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.72 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x874a…d584backed No | 66c | 263$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked Yes | 34c | 263$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…dd15backed No | 66c | 263$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d03…ef8ebacked Yes | 47c | 262$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.86 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 45cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…3213backed No | 53c | 262$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed Yes | 34c | 253$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…1b7abacked No | 66c | 253$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 55c | 250.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5880…a675backed Yes | 34c | 243$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…3b61backed No | 70c | 229.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.69 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked No | 64c | 226$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 38c | 219.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed No | 54c | 211$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 32c | 210$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa098…81e4backed Yes | 48c | 203$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…4071backed No | 62c | 201.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0c32backed Yes | 74c | 184.37$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 16c | 162.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…9756backed No | 54c | 147$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 44cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed No | 27c | 142.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 132.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8274…118dbacked No | 62c | 131.91$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbd…17c9backed No | 54c | 129$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 33c | 128.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 67c | 121.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f8…375bbacked Yes | 78c | 105.91$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…d13dbacked Yes | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…304dbacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8440…a714backed Yes | 38c | 92.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…a4c0backed No | 22c | 89.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc533…88e0backed Yes | 57c | 87.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…d558backed Yes | 43c | 86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed No | 54c | 82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…14e8backed Yes | 73c | 77.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 65c | 75.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…a914backed No | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 53c | 71.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 29c | 68.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 33c | 65.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa865…5b8ebacked Yes | 37c | 62.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…23aebacked Yes | 33c | 60.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…23bebacked Yes | 47c | 60.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.