Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x001fe72d0c72a5bc4181a2692952f3817b97e9b9fb29316d97a8705760bdcd41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4940…52efbacked Yes | 1c | 9,013$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c9…8072backed No | 74c | 3,181$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.35 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 25c | 1,442$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.11 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…019dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,349$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +280.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 2c | 1,318$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…bd49backed Yes | 36c | 1,277$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,253$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.67 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…87bfbacked Yes | 58c | 1,247$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,167$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 1,117$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…97e9backed Yes | 50c | 1,102$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.02 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed Yes | 36c | 1,079$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.44 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked No | 64c | 1,016$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.76 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked Yes | 44c | 960$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked Yes | 36c | 862$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0ec1backed Yes | 44c | 857$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…26b4backed Yes | 58c | 831$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 9c | 826.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 36c | 779$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.44 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 14c | 778.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed No | 42c | 774$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.92 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 695.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…5f61backed Yes | 42c | 688$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed No | 64c | 687$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.32 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…c13fbacked No | 64c | 672$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes | 45c | 651$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.95 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked No | 55c | 651$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.95 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…23aebacked Yes | 3c | 635.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…dae1backed No | 58c | 631$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes | 60c | 607$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 2c | 600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed No | 40c | 556$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked No | 37c | 554$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.02 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked No | 56c | 551$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…644ebacked No | 64c | 550$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 2c | 541$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…3258backed No | 64c | 524$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed No | 56c | 493$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.92 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…c286backed Yes | 26c | 491.85$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.46 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…1d2ebacked No | 42c | 473$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed Yes | 9c | 469.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 3c | 465.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5236…ab18backed No | 66c | 455.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.95 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…09debacked No | 40c | 451$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d09…42b7backed No | 64c | 437$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e0…ad86backed No | 58c | 422$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 42c | 422$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed Yes | 45c | 405$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…6447backed No | 55c | 405$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…c5a4backed Yes | 46c | 393.28$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed No | 64c | 380$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…4071backed No | 58c | 375.93$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 57c | 365$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.95 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 43c | 365$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.95 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed No | 56c | 364$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…e442backed No | 56c | 363$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.72 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…76f4backed No | 49c | 362$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…8c30backed Yes | 58c | 357$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked No | 64c | 342$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…b2b5backed Yes | 4c | 333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed No | 64c | 331$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed No | 42c | 328$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…a698backed No | 62c | 322.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed Yes | 13c | 319.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 51c | 316$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.16 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 11c | 313.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 64c | 306$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed No | 64c | 299$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ba…0e6abacked No | 42c | 297$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Yes | 19c | 290$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed Yes | 42c | 284$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.28 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…a315backed Yes | 36c | 273$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed No | 64c | 273$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed Yes | 36c | 259$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…f02dbacked No | 64c | 259$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 30c | 249.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…9effbacked Yes | 24c | 245.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e73…65debacked No | 49c | 243.65$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…5968backed No | 76c | 235.54$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…db83backed No | 64c | 232$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…b10ebacked Yes | 6c | 211.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 17c | 210$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…af94backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0675…b560backed Yes | 69c | 191.9$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f6…61bdbacked No | 51c | 190$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…e384backed Yes | 49c | 190$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…8f3cbacked Yes | 33c | 171.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Yes | 20c | 169$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…95c6backed No | 59c | 168.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 74c | 162.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…4c92backed No | 76c | 160$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…a4c0backed Yes | 26c | 159.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd70e…0ac1backed No | 64c | 151$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 58c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0c32backed Yes | 47c | 148.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1566…d210backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 75c | 145.77$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.