TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2eb…5751

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$33.21
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$51.84
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.44
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$517.46
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.92
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.58
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$906Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$741.15
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$241.63
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$69.6
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.32
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$160.23
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.58
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$291.2
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$476
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.99
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$222.88
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$449.25
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+300%+$200.25
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$23.92
Will "Zelenskyy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$47.04
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+66.4%+$663.94
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$176.12
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+354.5%+$680.94
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$204.12
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$335.88
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+45.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.65
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$206.11
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.36
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$43.32
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$166.32
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.41
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.18
Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 22,000 by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$177.03
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44.66
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.16
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+334.8%+$68.53
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$266.88
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$340.79
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$364.11
Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$213.89
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+85.2%+$231.84
Will Trump say "Nothing" 2+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$107.26
Will Trump say "First Term" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$38.72
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+56.3%+$98.28
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+733.3%+$242
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$148.05
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.64
Major solar storm by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.15
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.6
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$262.08
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$296.8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$203.62
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.1
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.44
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.63
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$179.84
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+316.7%+$244.72
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$610.94
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.46
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+122.2%+$175.45
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+244.8%+$556.64
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$147.81
Will there be at least 700 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.86
All 18 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.53
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.8
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$147.68
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$176.04
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$393.45
Will Jean Smart win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$196.5
Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$65.72
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$362.4
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+222.6%+$53.82
Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$92.12
Will "Cold Storage" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+455.6%+$206.64
Will "GOAT" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$74.09
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24.24
Will Spike Jonze win Best Director of Commercials at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$42.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$649.38
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.28
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.47
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$196.23
Will Partido Popular win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$100.75
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform finish third in the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$54.52
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45.98
All 7 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick47cpaid+42.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+84.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Blackburn Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.06
UNCW Seahawks vs. Charleston Cougarsbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$635.12
Georgia College & State Bobcats vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Georgia College & State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+455.6%+$564.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$274.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.8%+$250.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump endorse Ken Paxton for the Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$106.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$663.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.