Middle East · resolved market
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4170a15840e61b89216fcdf6368f63486b51f037e5c0546d63ae75b14fa5c2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $793,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $772,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $793,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yes | 71c | 30,690$21,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,914 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -8.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked No | 9c | 23,513$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked No | 29c | 15,393$4,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,464.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3c…1b01backed No | 30c | 15,000$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,449.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 14,623$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed No | 21c | 13,959$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.27 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed No | 29c | 13,331$3,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,865.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 8c | 12,431$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.36 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 9,514$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 11c | 8,321$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.26 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4171…b29bbacked No | 26c | 7,692$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked Yes | 72c | 7,593$5,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.95 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -14.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Yes | 70c | 7,384$5,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.39 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 17c | 6,429$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.14 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f1…15f9backed Yes | 72c | 6,163$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.13 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 17c | 5,622$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.09 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268d…4820backed No | 1c | 5,594$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed No | 28c | 4,300$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed Yes | 71c | 4,290$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.05 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c82…800bbacked No | 4c | 3,933$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 11c | 3,920$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,483.87 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 18c | 3,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.93 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 3,459$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.21 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 16c | 3,337$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.54 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…c68ebacked No | 14c | 3,317$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.45 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…1de9backed No | 30c | 3,200$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 17c | 3,154$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.16 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked No | 1c | 3,009$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked No | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee95…0625backed No | 15c | 2,991$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 2,957$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…9dc7backed Yes | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.83 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked No | 15c | 2,758$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.05 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 7c | 2,665$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.73 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdc…32ebbacked No | 3c | 2,303$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked No | 9c | 2,224$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.34 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed No | 10c | 2,219$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…4661backed No | 26c | 2,198$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b9…5b8ebacked No | 3c | 2,163$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed No | 17c | 2,160$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.2 | 194 | 49.5%96 W · 98 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa50e…159abacked No | 3c | 2,123$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c0…6a4fbacked No | 3c | 2,121$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked No | 20c | 2,100$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…9694backed No | 28c | 2,032$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…b969backed No | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…6c2fbacked No | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 13c | 1,919$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.73 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 13c | 1,900$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 198 | 29.3%58 W · 140 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…e34abacked No | 4c | 1,763$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7490…6e4abacked No | 3c | 1,694$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 1,679$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…0ed2backed No | 4c | 1,670$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Yes | 80c | 1,636$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.17 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf757…db38backed No | 19c | 1,623$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.93 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x082e…0110backed No | 4c | 1,603$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 71c | 1,600$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed Yes | 80c | 1,591$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.38 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 16c | 1,549$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.01 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…d02cbacked No | 30c | 1,494$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…e32bbacked No | 4c | 1,465$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 19c | 1,460$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.33 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc10…a082backed No | 19c | 1,427$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed No | 16c | 1,412$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.42 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 19c | 1,400$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 19c | 1,390$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.1 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x396c…6ab0backed No | 3c | 1,386$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 1,348$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 72 | 1.4%1 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked No | 26c | 1,317$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.43 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c7…0e95backed No | 15c | 1,310$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e4f3backed No | 3c | 1,295$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…18abbacked No | 30c | 1,285$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf434…7552backed No | 3c | 1,279$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…ca47backed No | 4c | 1,248$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…ef6fbacked No | 3c | 1,183$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbf…9941backed No | 4c | 1,176$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 78c | 1,163$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.51 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…6933backed No | 9c | 1,154$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…9448backed No | 26c | 1,153$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.78 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb1…9f67backed No | 3c | 1,091$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fee…3e12backed No | 3c | 1,089$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…58bcbacked No | 3c | 1,081$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…1c60backed No | 26c | 1,013$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 1,010$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked No | 20c | 1,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | -17.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.16 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…cb9cbacked No | 17c | 999.79$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.96 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3d…222fbacked No | 4c | 971$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 18c | 957.53$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.53 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…2e1bbacked No | 4c | 916$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…9e23backed No | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…3c31backed No | 3c | 903$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…976dbacked No | 3c | 902$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 5c | 901.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 124 | 5.6%7 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa167…5380backed No | 4c | 900$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked No | 16c | 900$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…b949backed No | 3c | 892$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?this page
- Military action against Iran ends on March 12, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 13, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 14, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 15, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 16, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 17, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 18, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 19, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 20, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 21, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 22, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 23, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 24, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.