Middle East · resolved market
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaa44c87fc51f53bb6d403662d1ce0915228d06419567d4808e48013abfcc616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $446,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $366,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb881…58fabacked Yes | 16c | 10,244$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 17cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…9969backed Yes | 4c | 7,235$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 3c | 6,563$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.44 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cb…b7cfbacked Yes | 5c | 6,078$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…1211backed Yes | 2c | 5,047$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…5ababacked Yes | 10c | 4,681$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 4,457$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…8f74backed Yes | 11c | 4,402$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…2294backed Yes | 4c | 4,195$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…c68ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,151$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 2c | 4,148$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e61ebacked Yes | 7c | 3,993$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,937$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…5493backed Yes | 5c | 3,856$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,578$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.63 | 124 | 5.6%7 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423a…cc34backed Yes | 5c | 3,475$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.63 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +268.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed Yes | 6c | 3,300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5973…5e13backed Yes | 4c | 3,290$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7062…dccbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,049$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 2,868$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.34 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…307fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,734$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…8db1backed Yes | 3c | 2,635$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 6c | 2,620$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.22 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521d…8482backed Yes | 4c | 2,510$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 4c | 2,480$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 103 | 27.2%28 W · 75 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…b3e4backed Yes | 2c | 2,466$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79f…b14ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,392$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…7f44backed Yes | 4c | 2,355$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 3c | 2,308$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df2…676abacked Yes | 4c | 2,154$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d67…3cc5backed Yes | 4c | 2,144$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba18…bb1cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,073$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da0…8657backed Yes | 8c | 2,010$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…f0c2backed Yes | 8c | 1,970$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked Yes | 3c | 1,950$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 94 | 10.6%10 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…33ebbacked Yes | 4c | 1,947$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbf…0208backed Yes | 4c | 1,845$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…5159backed Yes | 5c | 1,823$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…3afcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,815$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -78%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1423…1fdcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,810$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fb…4a7cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,761$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…0112backed Yes | 4c | 1,731$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…008dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,683$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…9592backed Yes | 2c | 1,671$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…f367backed Yes | 2c | 1,669$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…a9c1backed Yes | 2c | 1,631$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 1,625$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ada…127cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,578$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e0…56d2backed Yes | 4c | 1,575$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,535$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4151…596cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,534$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…abb2backed Yes | 4c | 1,519$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0f…bae3backed Yes | 5c | 1,471$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf4…fe79backed Yes | 4c | 1,420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…cbe3backed Yes | 4c | 1,369$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…7c64backed Yes | 2c | 1,368$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43bd…71a8backed Yes | 4c | 1,362$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 1,305$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 1,291$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…7a87backed Yes | 4c | 1,253$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…92f8backed Yes | 3c | 1,251$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 4c | 1,249$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…56d0backed Yes | 4c | 1,211$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…7367backed Yes | 7c | 1,205$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb23a…d16fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,195$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…2000backed Yes | 2c | 1,194$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…e7bdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5670…2b9cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,144$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3930…f627backed Yes | 5c | 1,131$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03fb…2c6cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 2c | 1,102$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5472…6b9ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,099$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…ed55backed Yes | 3c | 1,087$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2074…fe64backed Yes | 4c | 1,072$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…d7c0backed Yes | 4c | 1,046$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…5bc8backed Yes | 5c | 1,023$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…84c1backed Yes | 2c | 1,023$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…b09fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…cb5fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…27fbbacked Yes | 3c | 999.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 3c | 939.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca4…fda6backed Yes | 6c | 928.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +182.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 919.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…5086backed Yes | 3c | 905.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ab…300abacked Yes | 4c | 900$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…b62bbacked Yes | 5c | 854.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 3c | 823.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae99…1c9dbacked Yes | 2c | 799.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…82b3backed Yes | 3c | 792.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…5b15backed Yes | 3c | 766.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d0…34b3backed Yes | 4c | 727.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 725$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c95…e1a4backed Yes | 2c | 700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…ad35backed Yes | 3c | 686.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0879…2f3fbacked Yes | 4c | 686.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a3…f310backed Yes | 2c | 680.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…caf7backed Yes | 8c | 647.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a8…b1c9backed Yes | 5c | 619$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?this page
- Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 12, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 13, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 14, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 15, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 16, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 17, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 18, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 19, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 20, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 21, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 22, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 23, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 24, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.