Middle East · resolved market
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc15de44696cde71776edb36ac57c3609acf99dadeb65c7ba422701c35820e63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fd4…aba5backed Yes | 2c | 15,242$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.03 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…9969backed Yes | 3c | 11,029$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f09cbacked Yes | 2c | 9,000$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +374.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Yes | 14c | 6,973$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…1867backed Yes | 3c | 6,784$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 4c | 6,544$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.88 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed Yes | 2c | 4,800$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…3e81backed Yes | 2c | 4,293$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,232$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…58fabacked Yes | 8c | 3,930$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 17cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 3,829$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9724…fbc7backed Yes | 2c | 3,200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 3,189$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0442…4d21backed Yes | 5c | 2,999$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 2,996$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 2c | 2,955$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…50e2backed Yes | 4c | 2,894$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,410$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…2294backed Yes | 3c | 2,372$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c66…8c3ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,338$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…3afcbacked Yes | 3c | 2,326$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -78%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4e…cf40backed Yes | 4c | 2,295$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,289$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 124 | 5.6%7 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9018…0ae5backed Yes | 4c | 2,282$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 3c | 2,202$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…79e2backed Yes | 2c | 2,200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…91c9backed Yes | 4c | 2,153$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 2c | 2,139$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…d1aebacked Yes | 4c | 2,029$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,972$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf015…4725backed Yes | 3c | 1,920$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 2c | 1,896$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 148 | 8.1%12 W · 136 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +238.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,823$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…fbc8backed Yes | 3c | 1,800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…ce12backed Yes | 4c | 1,779$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc7…b45abacked Yes | 6c | 1,755$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc0…5124backed Yes | 4c | 1,732$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea0…6bddbacked Yes | 4c | 1,724$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…876fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,654$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,597$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d6…36babacked Yes | 4c | 1,591$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,560$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…bbd3backed Yes | 6c | 1,545$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ce…76c7backed Yes | 4c | 1,523$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e0…99b6backed Yes | 2c | 1,497$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…ae27backed Yes | 2c | 1,492$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…7367backed Yes | 3c | 1,451$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae99…1c9dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,430$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2a…165fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,425$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc680…39eabacked Yes | 4c | 1,378$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…396abacked Yes | 4c | 1,287$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 3c | 1,283$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf458…893bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,265$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c14…5269backed Yes | 2c | 1,247$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 1,224$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…9a56backed Yes | 2c | 1,204$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6c…4a5fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,183$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ad…7ec0backed Yes | 2c | 1,083$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,017$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…6520backed Yes | 4c | 1,010$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2747…8d20backed Yes | 4c | 1,009$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…cb5fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…af68backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 1c | 999.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked Yes | 3c | 999.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 94 | 10.6%10 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423a…cc34backed Yes | 4c | 951.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +268.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…7e72backed Yes | 2c | 873.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -73%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…51d8backed Yes | 4c | 830$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 821.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2baa…647abacked Yes | 2c | 785.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +148.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 2c | 776.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…d1dcbacked Yes | 2c | 766.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…a0d7backed Yes | 3c | 739.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 4c | 695$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 2c | 641.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 615.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 2c | 602.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…5086backed Yes | 3c | 574.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9d…c67cbacked Yes | 3c | 529.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…937bbacked Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 3c | 499.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 2c | 494.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…7a3fbacked Yes | 4c | 462$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…2faabacked Yes | 3c | 457.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x376e…d654backed Yes | 3c | 450$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3281…3bd5backed Yes | 4c | 438$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…e012backed Yes | 4c | 336$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…eed9backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…955abacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 39c | 280.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…caf7backed Yes | 4c | 277.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 245.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +24.9wins | +0.25per pick | 30cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +25.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5726…10f5backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be8…573dbacked No | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?this page
- Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?Yes won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 12, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 13, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 14, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 15, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 16, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 17, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 18, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 19, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 20, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 21, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 22, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 23, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 24, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.