TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x705d…f3a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
665
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 61 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT15523.2%36 W · 119 L+12.1wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+64.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 155 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+3,465.1%+$817.16
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$587.57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$269.1
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,323.18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+3,471.4%+$1,020.59
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$77
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+306.4%+$187.72
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+584.8%+$1,482.91
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,447Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+751.7%+$10,876.58
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.92
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$912Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$911.52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,842.37
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.27
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.55
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.7
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.06
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.04
Showing 25 of 155 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT12313%16 W · 107 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+194.4%+$668.27
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$703.7
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+365%+$2,197.74
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,245.35
Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.42
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,553.54
Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.47
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.16
Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.5
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-08 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$60.5
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-05 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.37
Will Yi Wei win on 2026-04-05 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.84
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.5
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.7
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Will Yi Wei vs. Hikaru Nakamura end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.64
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-01 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.44
Will Hikaru Nakamura vs. Anish Giri end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.2
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$991.27
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$194.09
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$795.73
Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$271.07
Will Arjun Erigaisi qualify for the 2026 World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+210.8%+$42.15
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+947.6%+$255.04
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$37.66
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT7627.6%21 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.33
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.7
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.74
Will VOX (VOX) win fewer than 13 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.16
Will VOX (VOX) win 13-15 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+352.4%+$259.67
Will VOX (VOX) win 19-21 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$23.08
Will Partido Popular win 25-27 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+528.4%+$227.44
Will Partido Popular win 34-36 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.42
Will Partido Popular win 31-33 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25.65
Will Yoweri Kaguta Museveni win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$70.01
Will Mamady Doumbouya win the 2025 Guinean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$102.56
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+835.4%+$660.46
Will Siaosi Sovaleni be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24.09
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$290.77
Will Kast win by 5% to 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$309.5
Will Kast win by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$163.32
Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$42.7
Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+212.5%+$67.99
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$104.1
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+1,527.7%+$583.67
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$69.13
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.23
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$63.12
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$64.5
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT6119.7%12 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+59%+$440.82
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+747.8%+$971.57
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.1
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Julian Alvarez be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.58
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.24
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.73
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.5
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$99.31
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+290.5%+$119.74
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.96
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+145.5%+$267.52
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.76
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.76
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will Erling Haaland be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.08
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.25
Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.95
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.1
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4114.6%6 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.64
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.18
Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.84
Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will Raphinha be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Robert Lewandowski be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.1
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.56
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+89%+$228.44
Will Barcelona place 2nd for the 2025-26 LaLiga season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$68.1
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.95
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.71
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+525%+$231.32
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.9
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.8
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.47
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$121.8
Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28.13
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.09
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$78.3
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$41.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+257.1%+$244.8
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$54.88
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT3423.5%8 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.57
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.15
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.11
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+789.3%+$4,822.48
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.71
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.76
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.75
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$37.62
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+247.8%+$218.38
Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$195.21
Will a handshake between Trump and Mamdani only be photographed on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$70.76
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$93.99
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$19.1
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+809.1%+$133.5
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.49
Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.61
Will Trump say "Pacific" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.19
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.32
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
Will Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.39
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.59
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.04
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.98
Will Trump say "China" or "President Xi" during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.94
Will Trump say Hezbollah during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.79
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT316.5%2 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-58.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.88
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.15
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.8
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.44
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.62
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.39
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.06
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.03
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.35
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.05
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+1,060.6%+$238.19
Will Elon tweet 350–374 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.64
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.11
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.4
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.6
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Elon tweet 375–399 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.66
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.84
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.44
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.17
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.4
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.20per pick24cpaid+30.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$129.59
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+389.9%+$654.47
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$102.92
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+282.6%+$464.13
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+266%+$420.82
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$496.13
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.96
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.04
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$45.5
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.78
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.29
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.55
Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.42
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.23
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.32
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+120.2%+$261.49
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.7
Will Trump say "Farmer" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$91.2
Will Trump say "Chip" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+156.8%+$86.88
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.1
Will Trump say "Biden" 2+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+116.9%+$13.01
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.21
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for less than 2 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.85
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.42
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be more than 150% on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.33
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+614.3%+$129
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.59
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.24
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+227.6%+$76.54
Will Donald Trump say "beautiful" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.47
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$319.04
Will Trump and Zelenskyy only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$95.5
Will Trump and Zelenskyy not shake hands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$89.32
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last less than 2 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$27.05
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.29
Will Trump say "Suit" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Trump say "Democrat" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.11
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.12
Will Trump say "Percent" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+182.5%+$193.8
Will Trump say "Mineral" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+304%+$126.1
Will Trump say "Jew" or "Muslim" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+478.4%+$284.8
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+110.8%+$249.03
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Nine Wars" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.84
Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+48.6%+$72
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?backed Gaza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.95
All 24 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2218.2%4 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.65
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.72
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.92
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.92
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.11
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.8
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.2
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $75-$80 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.89
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $85-$90 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+204.3%+$884.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $65-$70 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.44
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$75 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.01
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.52
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $80-$85 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.62
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.85
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+243.3%+$2,173.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+178.8%+$411.91
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$31.59
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+539.3%+$590.5
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.17
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.61
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.53
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.76
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.36
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.85
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.88
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.96
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$28.1
Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+458.8%+$887.56
Will Ivory Coast win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$104.68
Will Algeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$46.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Epstein" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+115.6%+$137.39
Will "Venezuela" or "Maduro" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+208.9%+$91.19
Will "Drink" or "Drunk" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+380.5%+$73.3
Will "Weird" or "Weirdo" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.92
Will "Jesus" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$82.22
Will Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$199.59
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.45
Will 'Minecraft' gross between 52-58m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will 'Minecraft' gross between 100m and 110m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will 'Minecraft' gross between 48-64m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.66
Will 'Minecraft' gross between 90m and 100m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.26
Will 'Minecraft' gross between 64-70m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will 'Minecraft' gross less than 90m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.54
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be more than 60?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$10.45
All 15 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+133.2%+$114.25
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$111.3
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Boxing: Abby vs. RoRobacked RoRo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.99
Boxing: TheGrefg vs Westcolbacked TheGrefg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+36.2%+$114.39
Boxing: Alana vs Ari Gelibacked Alana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+45.4%+$18.7
Boxing: Andoni vs. Carlos Belcastbacked Belcast · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.39
Boxing: Viruzz vs Tomás Mazzabacked Viruzz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$39.79
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-70.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bianca Censori be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.75
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$59.4
Will Andy Byron be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$31.85
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$23.87
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$79.1
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+162.9%+$198.14
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$191.1
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.92
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.45
All 9 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+48.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+79.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.