Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 2–9?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb942003e5c182f905b88302b79368d7891a2d3d418a13f884a52e727e4effb95

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 9, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $357,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $218,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,942 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0562…9d66backed Yes	3c	31,212$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891.77	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	10c	17,345$1,689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,689.22	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50a8…143fbacked Yes	0c	10,738$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	46	2.2%1 W · 45 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	3c	10,317$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.77	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Yes	21c	9,824$2,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,022.22	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	12c	7,940$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.59	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	11c	7,616$871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870.92	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes	9c	6,406$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.62	176	6.8%12 W · 164 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes	13c	6,006$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$772.73	188	10.1%19 W · 169 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes	13c	5,942$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.92	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	3c	4,634$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.63	271	5.2%14 W · 257 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf518…1655backed Yes	14c	3,418$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-64%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	3,258$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c58…14f7backed Yes	30c	3,202$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	63	15.9%10 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes	17c	3,164$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.5	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a4…36d8backed Yes	16c	3,141$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.14	132	9.8%13 W · 119 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	2c	3,000$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	14c	2,566$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.32	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	5c	2,500$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…13e7backed Yes	21c	2,400$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.25	47	17%8 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	10c	2,200$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Yes	5c	2,117$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.75	69	20.3%14 W · 55 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b28…bf83backed Yes	3c	2,000$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	1c	2,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.42	149	14.1%21 W · 128 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	10c	1,993$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.88	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	10c	1,866$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.45	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff1…337ebacked Yes	17c	1,775$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.65	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	9c	1,745$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.26	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	11c	1,700$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.1	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f2…376dbacked Yes	6c	1,644$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.92	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	72c	1,579$1,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.62	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50dd…9c04backed Yes	4c	1,552$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.6	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+6.6wins	+0.10per pick	21cpaid	+173.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9b0…1f9abacked Yes	1c	1,516$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0e4…02a8backed Yes	7c	1,489$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda10…ad11backed Yes	9c	1,452$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.73	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dce…8f73backed Yes	20c	1,419$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.56	126	23%29 W · 97 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	5c	1,374$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.08	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb112…b6d9backed Yes	18c	1,322$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.48	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47bb…ef0dbacked Yes	16c	1,321$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.37	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	10c	1,314$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.06	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Yes	3c	1,274$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.37	98	1%1 W · 97 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes	2c	1,215$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.14	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes	6c	1,199$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.76	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa493…612ebacked Yes	9c	1,184$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.31	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Yes	12c	1,158$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.83	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-12.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd427…05adbacked Yes	2c	1,095$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	265	16.6%44 W · 221 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf920…95bdbacked Yes	17c	1,087$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.66	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	11c	1,083$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.45	797	35.9%286 W · 511 L	-34.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed Yes	10c	1,050$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	11c	1,044$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.1	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	8c	1,008$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.73	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb24…a17bbacked Yes	9c	1,000$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.71	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf222…9718backed Yes	2c	997.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed No	76c	988.25$749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.32	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	78c	901.02$706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.64	185	31.4%58 W · 127 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b4c…3742backed Yes	12c	819.51$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c35…1a76backed Yes	5c	802.94$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.24	45	4.4%2 W · 43 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-73.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b9…eee5backed Yes	13c	763.05$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	11%8 W · 65 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x642b…abccbacked Yes	16c	762.08$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.36	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	5c	755.53$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.25	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes	23c	724.4$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.03	170	12.9%22 W · 148 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d01…083fbacked Yes	5c	664$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4c…d033backed Yes	6c	629.17$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.07	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5dd…7564backed Yes	9c	560$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.64	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85f2…7db1backed Yes	11c	552.2$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.4	100	16%16 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	15c	513.07$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.79	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaa…0e22backed Yes	17c	511.56$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.98	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	11c	507.88$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.26	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5dc…0d98backed Yes	12c	500$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Yes	9c	500$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Yes	18c	470.96$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	279	20.4%57 W · 222 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa124…4891backed Yes	21c	468.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…abc3backed Yes	4c	449.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	64	6.3%4 W · 60 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa26f…1071backed Yes	36c	449.98$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.54	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x587f…7765backed Yes	13c	436.48$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.06	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	16c	408.06$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa77c…f762backed Yes	3c	406.93$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	14c	404.5$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.03	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51df…c96ebacked Yes	12c	400.01$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x397b…648abacked Yes	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0f5…25debacked Yes	22c	390.33$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.98	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-39%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Yes	13c	389.82$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e0…8412backed Yes	9c	388.91$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.9	84	15.5%13 W · 71 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes	15c	375$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.68	430	27%116 W · 314 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a81…f39fbacked Yes	14c	345.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865e…d006backed Yes	9c	341.22$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6442…ccbabacked Yes	12c	332.97$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.62	75	13.3%10 W · 65 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…2735backed Yes	15c	326$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c42…f381backed Yes	8c	320.79$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01f1…2da0backed Yes	26c	320$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeae8…479fbacked Yes	13c	317.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	92	17.4%16 W · 76 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x798f…cef0backed Yes	25c	314.99$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.36	430	17%73 W · 357 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0982…92c6backed Yes	11c	314.15$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.55	109	14.7%16 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	21c	314.01$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5091…23e9backed Yes	14c	302.44$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.33	112	31.3%35 W · 77 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa4…0821backed Yes	12c	300$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.44	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63b1…57d5backed Yes	24c	287.74$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes	6c	287.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.32	227	10.1%23 W · 204 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-35%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeac…0036backed Yes	17c	280$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.59	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes	10c	261.24$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 2–9?this page
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 2–9?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 2–9?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event