Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 2–9?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb480a0ed19a24b3fc0bb0dbb474890a0655b73b633999099fc5a9a78fd64caae

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 9, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $362,854
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $201,827

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,854 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes	4c	15,096$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637.38	188	10.1%19 W · 169 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes	4c	10,541$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.33	176	6.8%12 W · 164 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	0c	10,284$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.2	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	1c	8,318$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.93	271	5.2%14 W · 257 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdea…997dbacked Yes	5c	8,000$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6821…5795backed Yes	5c	8,000$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a6…5484backed Yes	5c	7,500$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.5	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb865…e564backed Yes	5c	7,000$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x861d…d181backed Yes	5c	6,500$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.5	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d3…8008backed Yes	5c	6,500$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.5	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x543f…9dafbacked Yes	1c	6,500$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	3c	6,326$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.95	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3625…29aebacked Yes	5c	6,000$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf386…a1d6backed Yes	5c	6,000$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Yes	1c	6,000$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	69	20.3%14 W · 55 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes	6c	5,415$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.7	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c35…1a76backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	45	4.4%2 W · 43 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-73.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf518…1655backed Yes	9c	4,918$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.2	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-64%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed Yes	0c	4,780$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.92	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes	1c	4,663$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.32	227	10.1%23 W · 204 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-35%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Yes	1c	4,317$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	98	1%1 W · 97 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	0c	3,750$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	149	14.1%21 W · 128 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	3,428$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.98	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…2524backed Yes	1c	3,376$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	8c	3,229$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.19	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes	2c	3,202$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.44	184	12%22 W · 162 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes	2c	3,093$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.3	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	4c	3,089$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.99	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x642b…abccbacked Yes	4c	2,944$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.41	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x179e…ebe8backed Yes	4c	2,836$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.77	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c0…90f5backed Yes	5c	2,794$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.39	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47bb…ef0dbacked Yes	5c	2,646$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	2c	2,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	2c	2,476$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.72	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	4c	2,435$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Yes	3c	2,207$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.57	80	31.3%25 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc16…492bbacked Yes	1c	2,143$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x307e…dbdabacked Yes	1c	1,995$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes	8c	1,898$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.44	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes	2c	1,752$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.67	235	41.3%97 W · 138 L	-29.2wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd427…05adbacked Yes	3c	1,501$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.85	265	16.6%44 W · 221 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x103f…b237backed Yes	13c	1,500$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.37	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	22cpaid	+83.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50dd…9c04backed Yes	1c	1,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+6.6wins	+0.10per pick	21cpaid	+173.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b4c…3742backed Yes	7c	1,403$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68f3…be4abacked Yes	7c	1,394$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1306…7e5fbacked Yes	4c	1,296$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.33	68	17.6%12 W · 56 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa26f…1071backed Yes	14c	1,212$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.68	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	4c	1,173$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.98	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e0…8412backed Yes	4c	1,145$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.9	84	15.5%13 W · 71 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	3c	1,078$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.19	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed Yes	2c	1,050$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…505ebacked Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	50	18%9 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Yes	2c	1,000$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.32	67	11.9%8 W · 59 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	-32%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb24…a17bbacked Yes	10c	1,000$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes	8c	990.93$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.24	98	11.2%11 W · 87 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82a7…94a6backed Yes	1c	987$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d01…083fbacked Yes	3c	936.91$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Yes	12c	905.69$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.99	118	10.2%12 W · 106 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-47%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43f8…2903backed Yes	6c	896.93$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.87	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	32cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c56…ab4fbacked Yes	3c	870.47$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Yes	10c	869.95$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.84	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda10…ad11backed Yes	4c	838.98$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.49	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	4c	811.39$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.27	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed Yes	6c	800$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	102	24.5%25 W · 77 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-33%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	4c	800$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	11c	783.77$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.54	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e1…d1bcbacked Yes	2c	758.06$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	7c	682.97$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.53	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…abc3backed Yes	4c	677.56$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.12	64	6.3%4 W · 60 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31f1…382fbacked Yes	4c	653.72$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6074…965bbacked Yes	15c	645.61$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65f7…86ddbacked Yes	4c	640.07$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.96	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-70.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0357…070dbacked Yes	2c	610.24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	2c	610$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.54	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2f11…b63fbacked Yes	8c	598$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.31	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes	3c	548.4$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.06	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8696…2a17backed Yes	3c	526.53$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.09	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3836…8660backed Yes	4c	525.62$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.36	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	7c	515.9$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f2…7db1backed Yes	4c	500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	100	16%16 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	5c	499.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc342…f90bbacked Yes	3c	477$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5dc…0d98backed Yes	10c	451$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.81	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa12e…e4ecbacked Yes	3c	434.03$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbaa…0e22backed Yes	5c	432.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.18	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeae8…479fbacked Yes	8c	427.57$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	92	17.4%16 W · 76 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	11c	424.27$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.57	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes	8c	416.11$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.31	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa493…612ebacked Yes	10c	415.23$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa124…4891backed Yes	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2260…9fcdbacked Yes	8c	397.33$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5091…23e9backed Yes	6c	395$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.59	112	31.3%35 W · 77 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	3c	385.94$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes	5c	380$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.91	430	27%116 W · 314 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b55…32c2backed Yes	7c	370$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.72	61	23%14 W · 47 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	8c	333$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.86	181	8.3%15 W · 166 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x271c…eeccbacked Yes	3c	313$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fa4…0821backed Yes	5c	300$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.88	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b0…8512backed Yes	8c	250$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcade…ffe0backed Yes	9c	212.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 2–9?this page
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 2–9?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 2–9?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event