TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ac6…82a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
409
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 55 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT18412%22 W · 162 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-67.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 184 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.69
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.91
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.83
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$25.82
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$9.45
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$4.24
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.11
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.08
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+733.3%+$88
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.88
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.98
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.93
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$88.74
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.03
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$22.13
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$33.05
Showing 25 of 184 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT7119.7%14 W · 57 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-51.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.04
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.09
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+179.3%+$32.1
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.19
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.01
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$20.15
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$31.38
NBA Playoffs: Raptors vs. Cavaliers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.71
NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Hawks Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.97
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.78
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$30.77
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2910.3%3 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-54.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ECB rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.18
Will Powell say "Pause" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Powell say "Probability" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.9
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$127.9
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$83.7
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40.53
Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.1
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+632.2%+$259.89
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 20 or more times during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.11
Will Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.62
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Jerome Powell say "Quantitative Tightening" during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.2
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.43
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$246.6
Will Powell say "DeepSeek" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50.96
Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+354.5%+$156
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28.78
Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Trump approval >40% on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Donald Trump issue 25-49 executive orders in his first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST+1,328.6%+$697.5
Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$32.25
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump issue less than 25 executive orders in his first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$269.25
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$123.4
Will Trump say "God" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$78.09
All 18 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$29.4
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Brian Armstrong say "Perpetual Futures" or "Perp" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Brian Armstrong say "Ethereum" 2+ times at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will anyone say "India" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will anyone say "Trump" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will anyone say "China" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.67
Will Cluely CEO Roy Lee get a girlfriend by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will NVDA purchase Bitcoin before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Musk say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will Musk say "Tariff" 5+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+92.9%+$76.5
Will Musk say "Trump" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$31.05
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+50.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Coinbase list $FARTCOIN next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.76
Will Nigeria launch a memecoin before April? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will another country launch a memecoin in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.77
Will Dave Portnoy launch a coin before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+1,017.2%+$104.17
Will USD0++ dip below $0.50 before February? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will USD0++ stabilize again before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.52
Will Mark Cuban launch a coin by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$466.88
Will Dogecoin reach $0.90 before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$24.37
$WIF listed on Coinbase in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+66.4%+$160.2
Will Coinbase list $PEPE in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+426.3%+$228.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-47.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.36
Will "No No No" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Will KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) by KPop Demon Hunters Cast be the top Spotify album for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+37%+$13.5
Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?backed Boy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.83
Will Taylor Swift mention Travis Kelce on her new album?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$16
Will Mariah Carey be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$28.06
Will another artist be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will Rihanna be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$34.55
KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+391.7%+$283.54
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Mirra Andreeva win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Naomi Osaka win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12.01
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2024 Nitto ATP Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$40.09
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2024 Nitto ATP Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$12.03
Will Rafael Nadal win the Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$12
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" have more than 330m views on September 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.44
"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.96
Will "28 Years Later" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $34m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will 'The Accountant 2' gross more than $31m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.74
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Will another movie gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross less than $52m on 3-day opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$13
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21.27
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+53.3%+$154.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Walt Disney Company (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win again in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: France Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.