TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) by KPop Demon Hunters Cast be the top Spotify album for 2025?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$357,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$379,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,794 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbce6…b7d0backed Yes1c34,881$209 inLost-$209.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc331…4eafbacked Yes1c8,541$51 inLost-$50.54650%3 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+1,104.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe854…cd36backed Yes2c7,151$114 inLost-$114.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d8…2382backed Yes1c7,110$92 inLost-$92.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272a…e302backed Yes1c7,110$92 inLost-$92.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…471abacked Yes1c7,100$85 inLost-$85.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa25f…9c76backed Yes1c7,090$78 inLost-$77.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05c…da04backed Yes1c7,030$56 inLost-$56.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc15…4480backed Yes1c7,030$98 inLost-$98.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a2…2eebbacked Yes1c7,010$88 inLost-$87.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb9…6e8abacked Yes1c5,430$43 inLost-$43.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa29a…09c7backed Yes1c4,945$30 inLost-$30.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda2…5b72backed Yes1c4,524$50 inLost-$49.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes1c4,340$43 inLost-$43.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes4c4,000$142 inLost-$141.812015%3 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid+196.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad92…e149backed Yes2c3,891$82 inLost-$81.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes0c3,550$17 inLost-$17.151910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick6cpaid-19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes1c1,653$19 inLost-$18.96378.1%3 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…4120backed Yes3c1,510$52 inLost-$52.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes4c1,474$59 inLost-$58.945825.9%15 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c1,413$19 inLost-$19.374629.7%45 W · 417 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes2c1,369$22 inLost-$21.7624732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc178…35b3backed No35c743.9$261 inWon+$482.799100%9 W · 0 L+4.7wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+126%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0a45…9d4abacked No67c594$400 inWon+$194.241963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+52.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf0d…3e82backed Yes2c464$11 inLost-$10.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes5c200$10 inLost-$101216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-47.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52de…e8a2backed Yes9c123$11 inLost-$11.22333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.