Music · resolved market
Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10da1f0e05be2792f452f7b9f05775f7adce24917d6855b1fe962df2b5b9331b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 9c | 4,279$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.06 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,795$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Yes | 76c | 1,236$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.62 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…fbf4backed No | 4c | 1,014$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…55c8backed No | 3c | 1,001$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94a…fbe8backed No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 8c | 869.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c9…8fd8backed No | 12c | 828.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 5c | 575.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked No | 7c | 503.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed No | 8c | 452$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d88…b0c4backed No | 6c | 349.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d7…6547backed No | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 14c | 283$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…e61ebacked No | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed No | 10c | 192.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 61c | 172.02$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 10c | 170.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee2…ec88backed No | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 9c | 161$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…6dd4backed No | 8c | 150.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa1…9943backed No | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…4120backed No | 13c | 116.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 36c | 104$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…75e6backed Yes | 72c | 87.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 69c | 72.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac4…53c9backed Yes | 59c | 59.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…e8a2backed Yes | 66c | 20.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?this page
- Will GNX by Kendrick Lamar be the top Spotify album for 2025?No won
- Will Hurry Up Tomorrow by The Weeknd be the top Spotify album for 2025?No won
- Will I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen be the top Spotify album for 2025?No won
- Will KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) by KPop Demon Hunters Cast be the top Spotify album for 2025?No won
- Will Man's Best Friend by Sabrina Carpenter be the top Spotify album for 2025?No won
- Will Mayhem by Lady Gaga be the top Spotify album for 2025?No won
- Will Music by Playboi Carti be the top Spotify album for 2025?No won
- Will SOS by SZA be the top Spotify album for 2025?No won
- Will The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.