TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x756d…75e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 56 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49.38
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.6
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27.37
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+32.5%+$6.3
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.82
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37.4%+$12.96
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+29.7%+$38.07
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.7
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.6
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+40%+$129.29
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$8.51
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7.08
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$15.04
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$14.63
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+120.3%+$37
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+311.1%+$172.47
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+84.1%+$75.3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$80.87
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.55
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.2%+$4.74
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$29.7
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+89.4%+$66.34
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$44.55
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$39.04
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.06
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+30%+$5.93
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$44.29
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+30.5%+$9.02
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+204.4%+$109.02
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+296.8%+$143.98
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$29.7
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+67%+$142.58
Will Trump say "Please" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+57%+$21.97
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$28.74
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Superman be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25%+$7.43
Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20.79
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+63.1%+$14.57
Will Naomi Osaka be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25%+$7.43
Will Ariana Grande be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+27.9%+$26.24
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+179%+$98.55
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$63.36
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$77.15
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+46.5%+$25.59
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$130.66
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$59.4
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$29.7
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+78.7%+$45.86
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.86
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.89
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$172.86
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$19.55
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+100%+$11.64
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+38.6%+$4.5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+185.7%+$22.06
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.88
Will Trump say "Hottest" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$31.57
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.04
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$80.85
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.62
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+170.3%+$20.13
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+157.9%+$18.66
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25.3%+$34.62
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,583.66
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.91
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.5
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.56
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.31
Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+39.5%+$24.79
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3500000 and 3750000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.5
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3000000 and 3250000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2500000 and 2750000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.78
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$106.99
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3750000 and 4000000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.09
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+145.7%+$102.34
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have 1.5 Million Likes on Friday at Noon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$55.31
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+174.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+79.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$103.13
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.55
Bills vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.34
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texas (-7.5)backed Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$12.79
Spread: Navy (-14.5)backed Florida Atlantic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$12.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+187.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+187.8%+$37.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$16.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 322?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+27.9%+$5.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$47.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shohei Ohtani be named the 2025 World Series MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$73.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$29.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.