TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$431,803
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$447,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,803 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 664 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee50…7ed6backed No30c49,136$14,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,398.821788.2%15 W · 2 L+7.5wins+0.44per pick44cpaid+229.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x34fe…5590backed Yes74c23,180$17,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,131.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed No35c22,572$7,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,624.072615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-70.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…9109backed Yes70c22,303$15,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,554.871241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ea…15cdbacked No50c16,997$8,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,538.281291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick62cpaid+46.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Yes67c15,499$10,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,436.531513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-79.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8593…7314backed Yes73c8,691$6,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,326.53475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed No26c8,491$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,257.435735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5b…1edcbacked No37c8,154$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,154.41520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1abe…e456backed No37c7,200$2,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,536250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc39…80d9backed Yes63c7,200$4,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,53610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeac2…176dbacked Yes58c6,761$3,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,933.08850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+257.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a1…fb90backed No32c6,663$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,537.26616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-47.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcb…d3acbacked No30c6,500$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,558.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe72…cb10backed Yes64c6,491$4,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,173.664843.8%21 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x17ce…beecbacked No31c6,335$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,377.586328.6%18 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0624…053fbacked Yes71c5,579$3,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,953.78911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-74.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes66c5,554$3,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,667.018923.6%21 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7599…2e2fbacked No38c5,283$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,294.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Yes63c5,119$3,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,227.51771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66d4…ae10backed Yes59c5,093$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,010.311735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Yes65c5,007$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,242.182356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f09…5cd0backed Yes65c5,000$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes58c4,718$2,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,732.142626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc203…f9b0backed Yes69c4,348$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed No36c4,220$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,688.73922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ff…e8cfbacked No37c4,178$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,632.371154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+69%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes22c3,973$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.039435.1%33 W · 61 L+13.1wins+0.14per pick21cpaid+167%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes67c3,865$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,589.851216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-76.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes64c3,707$2,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,358.196439.1%25 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes75c3,699$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,779.99128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-82.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes63c3,500$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,196.257238.9%28 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f55…73b6backed No31c3,241$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.83425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No26c3,164$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.6512636.5%46 W · 80 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfe…74c8backed Yes72c3,100$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,231.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…c65fbacked Yes58c3,057$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-77.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43cf…88fabacked No36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.971346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked No31c2,901$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.4619011.6%22 W · 168 L-0.4wins0.00per pick12cpaid-58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No26c2,850$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.997611.8%9 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-72.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes64c2,794$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.16119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-88.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77e5…ec41backed Yes75c2,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes62c2,631$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.821838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No32c2,582$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.252638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No42c2,564$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.576150.8%31 W · 30 L+16.6wins+0.27per pick24cpaid+158.1%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x8733…ee86backed No34c2,550$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689580%4 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.57per pick23cpaid+269.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No29c2,522$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7994134.1%14 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a2…7b65backed Yes65c2,492$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.862948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8f…dd80backed No37c2,402$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.97922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed No23c2,371$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.985843.1%25 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2853…3482backed Yes54c2,342$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.152454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+59.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes69c2,341$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.61643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb73e…c66fbacked No38c2,326$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd2…48e6backed Yes62c2,228$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88df…a457backed No32c2,082$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeee…a4a9backed No62c2,023$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.871540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked No28c2,011$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4551030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e0…3694backed No32c2,007$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.19520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91df…68c1backed Yes69c2,000$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes64c1,997$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.616716.4%11 W · 56 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6561…c074backed No38c1,993$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.41837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d4…6a60backed Yes69c1,879$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.271315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.6wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-70.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8476…5418backed Yes63c1,769$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.47850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc023…ccf8backed Yes68c1,723$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.72170%0 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27b4…4278backed No39c1,552$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Yes70c1,517$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+115.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe419…5839backed No30c1,501$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.887139.4%28 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf4…5608backed Yes69c1,500$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0301546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7fe6…b39ebacked Yes67c1,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.982948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e8…b10bbacked No35c1,451$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4407…0e24backed Yes70c1,433$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.88812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-82.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1723…e1aebacked No35c1,428$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x227f…41e3backed Yes65c1,417$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.96812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-84.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc51a…8eefbacked No35c1,415$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes64c1,399$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.037337%27 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Yes67c1,370$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.11137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-86.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc51d…3ca1backed No32c1,362$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.771435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d6…0fdabacked No33c1,362$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.322454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4c…9a94backed Yes65c1,357$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x616a…6104backed Yes75c1,334$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.1340%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x111f…af00backed No38c1,318$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.341225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87c7…e71dbacked No35c1,315$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.681330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd02d…108ebacked No28c1,306$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.92944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb155…63e3backed Yes65c1,303$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x063a…eb4bbacked No37c1,294$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.14633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf8…a92dbacked Yes77c1,290$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes73c1,194$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8757146.5%33 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb354…777abacked Yes65c1,119$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf75…7018backed Yes69c1,113$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.31330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed No34c1,108$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+59.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No55c1,104$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.231040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ba…b3f9backed Yes63c1,098$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x947a…89b0backed No35c1,080$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7021100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes63c1,072$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.611435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed No35c1,063$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.322528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes2c1,050$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2118311.5%21 W · 162 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes1c1,020$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed No36c1,019$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.161361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+46.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b44…ccfabacked Yes64c1,000$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.25120%0 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa314…e2c5backed No28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202416.7%4 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.