TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72a2…7b65

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
244
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: IPO, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category IPO at 58 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT6056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$584
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.97
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,046.75
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,961.61
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,129.21
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,406Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+139.1%+$1,955.19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$9,499Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+50%+$4,750.53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$136
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32,131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$11,068.44
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$923Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$577.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,718.98
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+180.4%+$386
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$218
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$651
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$4,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,767.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.79
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,397Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+39%+$2,102.78
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$210.37
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$8,025.1
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+150.4%+$6,275.53
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,807Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$2,502.67
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,702Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$1,298
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+93%+$2,030.57
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.01
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48.46
Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.2
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$31.47
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.66
Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will GPT-5.6 be released on or prior to June 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.4
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$87.5
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$407.88
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,602Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,601.5
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,580.34
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.2%+$103.68
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$316.7
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50.8
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+32.2%+$716.29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,648Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+48.6%+$801.51
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$45.33
Will Claude 5 be released on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+26.8%+$21.15
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+25.9%+$15.45
GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+157.6%+$91.72
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$143.94
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+526.5%+$2,202.61
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$253
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$196.31
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.6
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$10.3
Will "Shame" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.84
Will "Ice Out" or "Fuck Ice" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$8.42
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$85.8
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.2
Will "Hamnet" win Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,770Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+27%+$748.8
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$232.56
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+147.7%+$328.4
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$114.18
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+46.3%+$23.92
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$149.52
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$199.72
Will Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.2%+$124.78
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.43
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,328Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+30.1%+$1,601.36
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$102.55
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,955Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.7%+$522.57
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$95.68
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+77.3%+$1,659.02
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+108.3%+$56.24
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,755Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,755.11
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.7
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123.68
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$8.1
Lionel Messi: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$95.87
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.55
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$266.81
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.26
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39.46
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29%+$22.5
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$41.88
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$27.3
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.79
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$30.5
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+60%+$15
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.63
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$8.42
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$17.17
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$164.67
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.15
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.55
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.52
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,596.86
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12,679Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$3,332.28
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$354.79
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,281Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$659.71
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$17.42
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,717Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63%+$1,082.5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,402Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$798
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.04
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$169
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,091.37
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+31.9%+$71.73
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+61.3%+$95
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$239.47
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$202.98
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$112.07
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+47.9%+$144.42
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37.3%+$213.96
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$215.73
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.28
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$234.73
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,946Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,945.7
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.81
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.84
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$175.8
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$58.96
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,514.45
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,473Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$4,923.38
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,999Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$1,260.69
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?backed Dems · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$93.27
Will James Talarico receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.6%+$49.63
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13,448Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+30.4%+$4,084.02
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-75.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.32
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$146.06
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,574.85
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,873Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,873.3
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$138,141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+46.8%+$64,615.41
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32.64
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+48.1%+$243.68
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$394.69
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.55
Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$429
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$21.33
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+203%+$67
Over $500K committed to the Foresee public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108
Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,677Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+30.8%+$516.5
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+107%+$233.51
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$98.75
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$97.5
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$163.26
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$244
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-73.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+271.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-55.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,745Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+111.8%+$1,950.24
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$992.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,910.16
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,859.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+148.8%+$23.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$22.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$15.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.