AI · resolved market
GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc5b3261f1f5077f0ef5db45a64513ec7a07e6c90c8a259f20dece4db50dc929
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe627…85debacked No | 30c | 23,959$7,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,277.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…ba88backed No | 12c | 20,000$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +189.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…d4e0backed No | 1c | 19,327$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…2d84backed Yes | 59c | 9,797$5,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,007.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6222…ee97backed Yes | 52c | 9,673$5,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,610.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…a11dbacked No | 44c | 9,417$4,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,170.6 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf183…54ccbacked Yes | 68c | 8,873$6,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9738…ed21backed Yes | 58c | 7,909$4,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,305.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a51…2e50backed Yes | 67c | 7,538$5,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5166…3a03backed Yes | 73c | 7,188$5,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 45c | 6,809$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.98 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…ade1backed No | 1c | 5,854$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 46c | 5,316$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.24 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed No | 3c | 5,061$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed No | 29c | 5,045$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.47 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb015…5d68backed No | 49c | 4,045$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afa…10eabacked Yes | 58c | 3,173$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…8da2backed No | 38c | 3,119$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…8550backed No | 1c | 2,799$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…5fe2backed Yes | 72c | 2,708$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed71…d7cebacked Yes | 72c | 2,646$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 33c | 2,113$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.34 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab5…ba4abacked No | 68c | 1,614$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 70c | 1,475$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.29 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | +17.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c81…1f31backed No | 44c | 1,352$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7661…208abacked No | 43c | 1,000$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 63c | 999.49$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.27 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed No | 31c | 990.68$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.96 | 201 | 30.3%61 W · 140 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 37c | 949.99$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed No | 37c | 789.13$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…db87backed Yes | 72c | 698.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.73 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 57c | 640.55$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.74 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…fecabacked No | 49c | 586.32$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.51 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 38c | 550.75$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…a4d2backed No | 65c | 510.48$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x712a…8ef9backed Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0a…1979backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Yes | 62c | 479.61$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b15…193dbacked No | 35c | 370.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c1…ca48backed No | 28c | 368$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 32c | 366.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…b0aebacked No | 72c | 319.43$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 31c | 309.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.66 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3531backed No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…7cb3backed No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7d…ac44backed No | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +346.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57c…0652backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +170.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6361…8578backed No | 60c | 217.37$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 33c | 207.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed No | 52c | 199.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…086cbacked Yes | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +231.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbd…b5a1backed No | 32c | 178$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 65c | 177.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…7079backed Yes | 63c | 158.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…cb41backed Yes | 67c | 156.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 39c | 149.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 63c | 144.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…e6dfbacked No | 43c | 143.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 34c | 141.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87d…816abacked No | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…f4f9backed No | 36c | 137.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 24c | 129.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…fbfdbacked Yes | 80c | 125.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…1d33backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 66c | 117.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed No | 51c | 117.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…2224backed No | 35c | 104.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…c120backed No | 48c | 103.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…8444backed No | 72c | 100.28$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc65…2d8bbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…dcc9backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +167.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 27c | 87.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 36c | 65.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a15…25d3backed Yes | 63c | 63.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 22c | 61.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…4e08backed No | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Yes | 46c | 50.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…48f9backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8e…cf2cbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +78%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a90…3614backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf80…2a0bbacked No | 39c | 45.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 64c | 45.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…75a7backed Yes | 64c | 43.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b70…ab35backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a36…74b8backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x139b…7c60backed No | 38c | 39.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…e488backed No | 41c | 38.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64b…e231backed No | 45c | 32.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cc…f15bbacked No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 65c | 29.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Yes | 41c | 26.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.3 released by February 21, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.