TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x675c…2224

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Weather, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 54 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4520%9 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$57.56
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+1,496.8%+$885.11
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$58.33
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+41.6%+$62.44
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.4%+$57.09
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$72.25
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$46
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$255
Will Israel strike 0 countries in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+466.3%+$1,197.13
Israel x Iran ceasefire by Friday? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$179
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-59.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+244.8%+$73.45
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US forces in Yemen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$175
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$206.07
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.68
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.44
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+137.5%+$109.98
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Trump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$20
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$92
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$15
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$217
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$80
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+78.7%+$220.37
All 19 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Solana dip to $70 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Solana dip to $90 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$40.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+900%+$162
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+222.6%+$112.63
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$566.7
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$125.6
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+175.7%+$180.95
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will "ICE" or "Border Patrol" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Will Cooper Kupp win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+167.3%+$106.5
Will Rashid Shaheed win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+809.1%+$129.45
Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 12 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,587.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+1,587.1%+$1,174.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$188.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.