NFL · resolved market
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f25f141f419455b5eedaed91fe42a0296ed4ed2c51939a2640e39948822fa18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $688,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $688,390 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d6b…4d76backed Yes | 7c | 41,581$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65c…46ddbacked Yes | 1c | 34,365$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…ecbfbacked Yes | 14c | 17,510$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…321ebacked Yes | 2c | 14,916$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 10,882$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.49 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 4c | 8,897$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.03 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaf…bc9abacked Yes | 4c | 8,373$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 8,313$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.99 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 1c | 6,981$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d40…f14dbacked Yes | 8c | 6,973$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029d…8d3dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,181$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a57…a9edbacked Yes | 0c | 5,603$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…dde3backed Yes | 9c | 5,542$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 1c | 5,536$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 4c | 5,418$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.16 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 0c | 5,400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…040abacked Yes | 3c | 5,369$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…6646backed Yes | 2c | 5,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781f…c9febacked Yes | 6c | 5,290$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae21…1240backed Yes | 7c | 5,262$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…caf0backed Yes | 4c | 5,047$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…c8cfbacked Yes | 3c | 4,963$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd157…4577backed Yes | 1c | 4,117$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…03a8backed Yes | 10c | 4,077$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 7c | 4,000$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…92b8backed Yes | 8c | 3,933$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 3,765$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 10c | 3,500$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.86 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 14c | 3,419$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -45%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5701…f43dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,398$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7720…da92backed Yes | 12c | 3,300$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 1c | 3,202$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 0c | 3,064$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 2,946$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…1f41backed Yes | 11c | 2,802$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…3d07backed Yes | 7c | 2,772$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…b34cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,682$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.18 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Yes | 11c | 2,589$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,473$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f4…4713backed Yes | 10c | 2,451$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…3b59backed Yes | 11c | 2,448$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e4…6814backed Yes | 6c | 2,434$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4626…be3fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,207$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…6d86backed Yes | 1c | 2,026$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3408…b76ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,990$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,819$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…a8fdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,695$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099b…839dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,656$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 1,617$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 1,605$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 1,547$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ea…3df4backed Yes | 11c | 1,547$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…820abacked Yes | 3c | 1,470$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…12cebacked Yes | 1c | 1,459$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9d…d2adbacked Yes | 7c | 1,388$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…19b0backed Yes | 1c | 1,376$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,309$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3139…0445backed Yes | 8c | 1,254$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,179$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…3f26backed Yes | 16c | 1,167$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1d…cefebacked Yes | 17c | 1,161$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d96…3fd5backed Yes | 1c | 1,119$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…85eebacked Yes | 2c | 1,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…f93dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,050$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…fcd0backed Yes | 2c | 1,039$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd00…e02fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,034$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 8c | 964$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…fbbcbacked Yes | 2c | 882.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 14c | 881.37$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c6…a0e5backed Yes | 8c | 879.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 9c | 872.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5898…0e57backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…7221backed Yes | 19c | 796.37$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…545abacked Yes | 5c | 764.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…abd7backed Yes | 8c | 764.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x343e…0028backed Yes | 6c | 715$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…904fbacked Yes | 10c | 690$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…6455backed Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5b…afe2backed Yes | 4c | 665.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…f3b5backed Yes | 10c | 652.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973a…70e6backed Yes | 12c | 643.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…d786backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0769backed Yes | 8c | 618.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…f341backed Yes | 9c | 610$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…e16bbacked Yes | 7c | 596.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eed…ed9dbacked Yes | 3c | 573.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…30b4backed Yes | 8c | 573.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd6…e56dbacked Yes | 4c | 569.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…07c8backed Yes | 5c | 566.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…70fabacked Yes | 9c | 556.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3a…610abacked Yes | 9c | 556$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…759fbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed Yes | 4c | 553.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6223…cedbbacked Yes | 6c | 539.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…ffd8backed Yes | 5c | 533.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…d987backed Yes | 14c | 507.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382f…4fa6backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.