TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3d5b…afe2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 57 out of 100; worst AI at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST3141.9%13 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$87
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$95
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+150%+$120
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$52
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+146.9%+$238
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$66
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$84
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+177.8%+$128
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+222.6%+$207
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$54
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$106
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+150%+$60
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+118.3%+$54.19
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+194.1%+$132
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60.9
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+184.1%+$162
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$64
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$48
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$37
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$46
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$48.32
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.43
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$15.69
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$18
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.36
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70.5
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+733.3%+$264
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+185.7%+$22.75
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.57
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+400%+$160
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+426.3%+$121.5
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+125.6%+$58.45
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.3%+$108.45
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$54.34
Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+852.4%+$431.57
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$26.03
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.24
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+684.3%+$104.7
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 21m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$55.1
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will "Frankenstein" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 25 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.9
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Sam Altman say "Polymarket" or "Bet" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+570.4%+$102.1
Will: Canelo Alvarez be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20.6
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+91.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 167.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-6.5)backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.15
Furman Paladins vs. Samford Bulldogsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.27
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+150%+$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.87
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.08
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+170.3%+$63
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+146.2%+$16.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.