TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sinnersof Alliance, Sinners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$582,093
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$679,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $582,093 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Alliance47c270,357$127,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127,344.4142440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…649cbacked Alliance0c175,932$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.93650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Sinners54c89,783$48,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,601.839249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccb2…8586backed Sinners53c49,943$26,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,473.393961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Sinners52c45,991$23,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,077.0321051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sinners52c19,848$10,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,527.6982143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Sinners52c13,000$6,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,24060540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Sinners64c10,379$6,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,780.8327133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sinners66c9,109$5,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.363,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Sinners51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9605947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Sinners54c4,000$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.147055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Sinners55c3,239$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.231,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Sinners50c2,454$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22719645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4da1…e6dfbacked Alliance25c2,008$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.810446.2%48 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Sinners53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9407940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3eca…9291backed Alliance25c1,619$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb88e…08f3backed Sinners54c1,574$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.071533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Sinners54c1,476$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.7460853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Sinners53c1,317$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.449941.4%41 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance32c1,208$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Sinners76c1,181$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.999352.7%49 W · 44 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance30c1,168$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.896,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Sinners52c1,157$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.1614744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Sinners54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.0616750.9%85 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Alliance50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5507342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Alliance40c1,090$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.2536742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Alliance47c1,063$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6125039.6%99 W · 151 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Sinners53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47050043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Alliance47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47013030.8%40 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Sinners54c994.96$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.6821460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Sinners54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.934551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02ad…9f8abacked Sinners53c874.4$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Sinners53c800$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.7425950.6%131 W · 128 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Sinners52c692.31$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.3110251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Sinners67c674.06$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.121,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Sinners53c662.26$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2696945.6%442 W · 527 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked Alliance36c655.19$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.8612736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Alliance41c576.54$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.2152456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Alliance46c495.6$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7234235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sinners57c485.99$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.342,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b8f…30dbbacked Sinners78c469.41$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.944100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance35c401.88$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.624,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Sinners54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18439245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Alliance25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9313144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Alliance50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Sinners54c376.33$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1118054.4%98 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Alliance22c336.69$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.032,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Sinners80c335.98$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.612450%62 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Sinners53c325$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.255,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Sinners63c317.52$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.0616146%74 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ab…7954backed Alliance72c314.24$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2265952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Sinners54c302.06$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0619351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Sinners50c300$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1495954.2%32 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee1…f616backed Alliance42c290$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.813332.3%43 W · 90 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Sinners79c289.44$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9527348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Sinners48c275$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.758248.8%40 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…25e8backed Alliance53c252.8$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.445655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Sinners54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11532352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Sinners54c245.61$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0445544.4%202 W · 253 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…d11fbacked Sinners77c245.11$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.873852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bae…61b8backed Alliance17c234.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409755.7%54 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Sinners66c219.14$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.381,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Alliance25c213.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.731,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Alliance37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8153545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aee…51a8backed Sinners50c198.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.55738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Alliance48c191.38$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.846843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddf…2c83backed Alliance6c190$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+53.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74b3…c6a5backed Sinners54c185.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.231040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x411e…ea8bbacked Sinners14c184.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.33633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+138.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Alliance6c168.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.421,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Sinners76c162$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8838552.2%201 W · 184 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0862…24d2backed Sinners52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Sinners52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729548.4%46 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Sinners53c146.45$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8354348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1487…d443backed Sinners52c134$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.326944.9%31 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9cf…c8c6backed Sinners75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Alliance25c123.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3721723%50 W · 167 L-35.4wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-61.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Sinners68c115.98$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0845956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Sinners74c115$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.910753.3%57 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Alliance34c114.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.995973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Sinners53c112.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.717659.7%105 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Sinners53c108.59$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.064353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba21…b92cbacked Alliance24c107.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa203…63c0backed Alliance48c104.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.32326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed Sinners53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4724746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed Alliance23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310529.5%31 W · 74 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc46…a7ecbacked Sinners52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7aad…72b7backed Sinners73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…6ac0backed Alliance49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499252.2%48 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Sinners62c97.78$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3730335.6%108 W · 195 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d35…7618backed Alliance50c97.55$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Sinners52c95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc95d…f13bbacked Sinners53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x814f…d2b3backed Sinners53c93.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.171050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Sinners54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.595442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1939…22e8backed Sinners53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.311840.7%48 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked Sinners76c78.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.958974.2%66 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Alliance28c76.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.762,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Sinners68c72.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0959647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Sinners56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4356554.2%306 W · 259 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.