TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7aad…72b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Sangal (BO3) - META Cup Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked KUUSAMO.gg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$128
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+176.3%+$176.27
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - IstanbuLAN Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked ex-KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+37%+$27
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs TYLOO (BO3) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+27.1%+$19.12
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+54.4%+$81.59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-73.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Islandersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$171.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Inner Circle (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$22.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$204.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.