TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,042,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,182,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,042,629 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 808 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf6c…7e66backed Hornets5c70,142$3,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,838.959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0140…9028backed Hornets29c57,000$16,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,529.894544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Hornets3c51,109$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.675925.4%15 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Knicks71c35,286$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,286.1434062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets13c32,991$4,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,368.574,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Knicks71c30,000$21,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,699.9838248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets29c25,000$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,249.8774748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets18c23,458$4,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,147.095,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets17c22,949$3,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,903.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets10c20,188$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9991,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Hornets30c20,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.961,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets29c16,605$4,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,815.341,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b5…b099backed Hornets30c15,975$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.75425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd52…0001backed Knicks72c14,936$10,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,187.361662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa4…a930backed Knicks71c13,000$9,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7704100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+84%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets3c12,515$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.481,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks73c11,878$8,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,263.521,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Knicks71c10,805$7,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,133.5115551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cdc…ae37backed Hornets0c10,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156025%15 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c52…ff83backed Hornets0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Knicks71c10,000$7,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,943.1120253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Hornets29c9,975$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909.7555346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Hornets0c9,880$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.978820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked Knicks71c9,500$6,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7553259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03e0…1f91backed Hornets30c9,500$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8501735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x76a0…5a51backed Hornets15c8,660$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.62825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb597…16bdbacked Knicks71c8,333$5,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x702d…a37fbacked Knicks70c7,200$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Knicks70c7,105$4,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.561851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Knicks75c6,906$5,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.881,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x059e…4a2ebacked Hornets30c6,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hornets28c6,111$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.192,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09e2…01f2backed Hornets0c6,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Hornets0c5,604$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.567502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Hornets16c5,509$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.5226038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hornets30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cc7…fe1cbacked Knicks70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50011744.4%52 W · 65 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Knicks70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50044648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dcd…d125backed Hornets31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Hornets28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40010041%41 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks70c4,999$3,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.532,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Knicks70c4,809$3,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.658951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets29c4,439$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.823,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Knicks71c4,390$3,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.212268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets0c4,270$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.098783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hornets30c4,111$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.3244459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets30c4,050$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2151,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hornets29c3,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.211,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe0…6b6cbacked Hornets30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb84b…95b1backed Hornets0c3,138$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.551040%4 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca8…c951backed Hornets30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Knicks69c3,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc925…0789backed Hornets30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Knicks71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hornets29c2,865$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.9372450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Hornets26c2,817$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.985344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Knicks71c2,789$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.7315855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Hornets29c2,736$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.3227840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks69c2,604$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee0…5233backed Knicks70c2,491$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.432040%8 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Knicks72c2,407$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.9436943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c4…48d7backed Knicks70c2,400$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.994165.9%27 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets4c2,362$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.891,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Hornets1c2,268$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1667911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1661…5d3cbacked Knicks71c2,254$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.52520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-71.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x91d8…fbc5backed Hornets1c2,146$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e26…abf5backed Knicks70c2,021$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Hornets30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Knicks71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7546…3a91backed Hornets23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Knicks74c2,000$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51519441.2%80 W · 114 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Hornets28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9911649.1%57 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Hornets29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9736248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Hornets29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9416446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Hornets29c1,942$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.7175347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd19f…0f4bbacked Hornets16c1,918$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hornets7c1,915$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.12,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Hornets29c1,875$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.31,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a59…770cbacked Knicks73c1,874$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.046665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fdb…0ccabacked Hornets30c1,833$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f71…c41dbacked Hornets31c1,800$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5581145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hornets11c1,732$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.52,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0000…db52backed Hornets30c1,700$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Hornets30c1,660$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.5248046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Hornets24c1,647$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.249260.9%56 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1695…85e4backed Hornets30c1,626$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Hornets20c1,598$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.4948347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Knicks72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Hornets30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d75…cbbdbacked Hornets30c1,499$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.76616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-76.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Knicks71c1,490$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.194951.3%487 W · 462 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed Knicks70c1,470$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4415749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks70c1,440$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67fa…5f52backed Knicks71c1,437$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306a…0d29backed Knicks70c1,400$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4208048.8%39 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb67…92cbbacked Knicks71c1,400$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de6…24c8backed Hornets30c1,400$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Hornets1c1,310$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d0…673fbacked Hornets31c1,300$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+57.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked Hornets28c1,287$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.4515945.9%73 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.