TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0f3…d82c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
405
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: College Football, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST15551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 155 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$3,008.5
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$900
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$9,729Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2,586.1
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,262.17
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$4,000
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,672Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$3,133.51
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$9,930Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4,255.77
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,871Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$5,871.04
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,812Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$2,812.33
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+400%+$2,477.68
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,083Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$2,083.17
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,934Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,934.41
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$3,441.28
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,192.36
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,740.18
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,715Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+171.4%+$2,939.27
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$780
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,045.81
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$288.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,259Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+101%+$2,281.06
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,483Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+52.5%+$778.63
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+100%+$749
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$424.59
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$294.96
Showing 25 of 155 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST9949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$8,995Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$2,686.89
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+80.1%+$489.25
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,285Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$2,739.9
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$9,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$9,249.95
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,532Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$4,717.48
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,381Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$2,197.57
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,578Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$6,577.74
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,558Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+97.6%+$8,355.57
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$8,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$8,062.41
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$9,722Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$9,722.46
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+104.5%+$114.48
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$960
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,499Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$1,439.74
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,464.66
Spread: Ravens (-6.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,498.72
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$255.98
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$2,000
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,250
Eagles vs. Vikingsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,413Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+70.8%+$2,415.2
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,868Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,867.5
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,621Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,620.84
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$528.43
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,306Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$1,326.43
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST7651.3%39 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$470
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,155Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$4,877.13
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$498.9
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+64.7%+$646.87
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$379.5
Reds vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$208.79
Cubs vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$674.2
Rays vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$512.81
Rays vs. White Soxbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$294.46
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$339.28
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$535.68
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$679.65
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,191.18
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$514.92
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$643.52
Red Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$402.23
Nationals vs. Yankeesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$387.17
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$475
Phillies vs. Metsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,275
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$770
Red Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$1,069
Cardinals vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$742.16
Nationals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,294Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$419.62
Rockies vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+37%+$366.17
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST4868.8%33 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+90.8%+$4,628.86
LSU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,578Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.8%+$2,030.43
Georgia vs. Mississippi Statebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,917Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$1,668.78
Northwestern vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,193Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+26.6%+$1,114.52
Georgia vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,624Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$1,798.14
Florida State vs. Stanfordbacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,001
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$8,008Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$3,270.76
North Carolina vs. Californiabacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,926Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$2,082.01
Spread: Miami (-13.5)backed Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,352Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$2,633.66
BYU vs. Coloradobacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,760Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+65.3%+$1,148.72
Alabama vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,195.88
Fresno State vs. Hawai'ibacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+55.5%+$404.75
Spread: Miami (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$299.24
Florida vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,648Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$811.59
Georgia vs. Tennesseebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+68.9%+$689.27
Kansas State vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$822.8
Colorado vs. Houstonbacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$554.07
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$218.86
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.14
Ohio State vs. Notre Damebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12,307Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+27.4%+$3,372.98
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$8,211Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+44.9%+$3,689
Notre Dame vs. Penn Statebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+100%+$1,500
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked San José State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$400.31
Northern Illinois vs. Fresno Statebacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+73.8%+$1,563.7
Will Ohio State beat Tennessee by 8 or more points?backed Ohio St · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+100%+$750.1
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+115.2%+$665.09
Penguins vs. Kingsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,441Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$1,910.6
Capitals vs. Islandersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,190.73
Utah vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$4,474.29
Rangers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,469Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+56.4%+$1,392.75
Jets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$2,350.2
Senators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$3,993.34
All 7 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2024, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$381.66
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$169.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$809.4
Aces vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$1,642.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+112.7%+$2,818.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge beat Borussia Dortmund?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15,741Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+39.3%+$6,191.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Sinner vs. Medvedevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11,001Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2024, EDT+36.4%+$3,999
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will LAFC beat San Diego FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$454.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.