MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15ed431d93d0b2e77ca35e131104ccfc4d2eeadfc1972205575524b525f64d35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Marlins, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $498,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $525,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 504 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 42c | 258,766$108,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,084.35 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Marlins | 58c | 137,103$79,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,337.72 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Marlins | 58c | 75,000$43,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,500 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Marlins | 58c | 48,000$27,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,840 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Marlins | 40c | 25,157$10,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,151.06 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Marlins | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Marlins | 58c | 17,387$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Nationals | 43c | 15,095$6,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,563 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 70c | 14,408$10,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,363.84 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Nationals | 43c | 13,398$5,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,636.67 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marlins | 12c | 9,631$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 44c | 8,337$3,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,668.89 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Nationals | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.94 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Marlins | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.99 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Nationals | 73c | 6,664$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.3 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nationals | 43c | 5,620$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 44c | 5,555$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.8 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Nationals | 44c | 5,280$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.8 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 57c | 5,203$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.97 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 23c | 4,165$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.37 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Marlins | 27c | 3,880$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.68 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 44c | 2,840$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.69 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Marlins | 58c | 2,313$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.54 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Marlins | 58c | 2,079$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.82 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Marlins | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 42c | 1,850$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.8 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Nationals | 44c | 1,638$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.26 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Nationals | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 12c | 1,317$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.9 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Marlins | 56c | 1,244$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.84 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Nationals | 43c | 1,192$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.65 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Nationals | 43c | 1,111$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Marlins | 58c | 1,109$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.23 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Marlins | 8c | 1,022$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 42c | 1,019$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.02 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Marlins | 57c | 964.91$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b63…d2cfbacked Marlins | 23c | 878.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Nationals | 44c | 853.79$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.12 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Marlins | 2c | 781.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e5…a94fbacked Nationals | 44c | 745$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nationals | 43c | 708.54$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.61 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…410cbacked Nationals | 45c | 707.18$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…e827backed Marlins | 57c | 705.46$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 44c | 681$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.36 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Marlins | 56c | 608.33$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.66 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nationals | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 42c | 574.29$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.09 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 12c | 533.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Marlins | 8c | 501.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Marlins | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 49c | 430.9$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.94 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nationals | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Marlins | 3c | 387.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Nationals | 66c | 380.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Marlins | 55c | 364.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.3 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Marlins | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…afd5backed Marlins | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 44c | 349.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Marlins | 8c | 348.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Marlins | 27c | 326$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Marlins | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Nationals | 43c | 300$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Marlins | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Marlins | 56c | 257.13$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…d3dabacked Nationals | 45c | 251.11$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.11 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Nationals | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…f8f2backed Marlins | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Marlins | 45c | 238.7$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Nationals | 43c | 232$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.24 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870b…2181backed Marlins | 57c | 227.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.59 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…483cbacked Nationals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Marlins | 56c | 215.3$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.57 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1888…e1cbbacked Marlins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins | 10c | 200.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Marlins | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Marlins | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Marlins | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Marlins | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…3a07backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…5daebacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…02fabacked Marlins | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…3068backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…963ebacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…e84cbacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…6c96backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…d738backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a6…835abacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marlins vs. Nationalsthis page
- Marlins vs. Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Marlins (-1.5)Nationals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.