TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3cc9…56d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT4242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Ducksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$733.03
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,239.92
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,361.84
Kraken vs. Canadiensbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,442Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,441.92
Predators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$562.72
Oilers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,478.51
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$920
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,159.99
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$230.36
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$674.98
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Islanders vs. Predatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$794.99
Canucks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,004.99
Red Wings vs. Canadiensbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$705
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$795
Hurricanes vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$945
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$1,050
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$1,140
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$720
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$780
Lightning vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$859.99
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$24
Canadiens vs. Predatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+100%+$30
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$22.2
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$466.3
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$420
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$840
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$1,035
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$780
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$740
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$1,005.18
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$182
Kings vs. Pistonsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$2,760
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$975
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$390
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$345
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$16.81
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,139.99
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$374.99
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$765
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,225
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$619.99
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$633.27
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,757.34
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$475.3
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$393.07
Angels vs. Royalsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,908Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$3,112.37
Braves vs. Cubsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,108Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$2,911.59
Mariners vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,152Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$2,852.53
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,010.38
Guardians vs. Red Soxbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,111Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$2,915.08
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,908Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$3,113.02
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,012Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+150%+$3,018
Rangers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$357.41
Red Sox vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,111.35
Nationals vs. Giantsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,059.02
Rockies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,280.98
Phillies vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,100.04
Mets vs. Brewersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,158.59
Guardians vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,158.59
Angels vs. Tigersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,414
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,377Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$1,944.01
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-69.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Patriotsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Browns vs. Panthersbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Lions vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston vs. Dukebacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$56.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs Wingsbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.