TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Angels vs. Royals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Angelsof Angels, Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$183,795
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,795 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7435…a620backed Royals61c32,820$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Royals80c28,628$22,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,829.9511345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels39c21,972$8,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,402.871,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels38c11,365$4,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,046.1338043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Angels42c7,144$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,129.0821747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Angels20c6,129$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900.372,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals13c5,607$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.441,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Angels38c5,020$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,112.372050%10 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Royals40c5,000$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.956845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Angels40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00034245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Royals61c3,914$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,387.6998149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Royals7c3,655$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6178445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Angels55c3,638$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.0833554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Royals61c3,469$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.94341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01a…2485backed Royals62c3,411$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.821145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3499…2858backed Angels77c3,212$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.813100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Angels55c3,174$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.2425551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Royals53c3,091$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.219,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Royals62c3,006$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.911,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Angels60c2,520$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.8220747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Royals19c2,075$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.3517243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Angels39c2,050$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.51,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Angels40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Angels39c1,700$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.9916349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Angels39c1,606$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.41,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Angels39c1,570$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.6522852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Royals61c1,532$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.529842.9%42 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2e6…c6f9backed Angels69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals33c1,415$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.444,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Angels41c1,200$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.093262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Royals59c999.99$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.9932651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Royals62c967.74$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Royals53c962.66$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.2115749.7%78 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels39c800$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48883248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Royals60c800$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48030151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Angels39c769$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.091,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Angels39c700$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42720748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Angels39c692$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.1257744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Angels39c621$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.817247.2%34 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Royals5c600.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.136,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Royals28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16818649.5%92 W · 94 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Royals49c600$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9432042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90e…107abacked Angels68c529.65$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.492965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Angels39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8256351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Royals40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Royals54c500$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.383046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Angels38c499.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Royals29c496.35$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1315033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Royals60c495.25$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9673149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Angels61c495.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0839160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Royals60c433.73$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.247659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Angels73c417.88$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.886747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Royals62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24892754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Angels70c399.68$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.996133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals60c386.76$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.062,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Angels38c349.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2171,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Angels70c320.35$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.118,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Royals33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009551.6%49 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Royals60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Angels56c294.36$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.041,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Royals35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Royals60c275$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.763152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3b6…97b7backed Royals62c266.13$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1654856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Royals62c258.06$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16099951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0e…9012backed Royals62c258.06$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Royals62c256.47$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16054455.1%300 W · 244 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Royals29c252.6$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6743153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1888…e1cbbacked Angels40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Royals40c243.73$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4951334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Royals62c243.26$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Royals49c229.78$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.596,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Royals60c225.61$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.371,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed Angels40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12024346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Royals62c193.55$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12078454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals60c183.71$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.231,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Royals61c176.9$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.911,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Royals61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006847.1%32 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Royals34c161.68$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ba…92f7backed Royals62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009246.7%43 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Angels39c150$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2535245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Angels40c147.05$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2370946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Royals59c146.46$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4156451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Angels41c136.12$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.311,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b0e…b61cbacked Angels74c135.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd46…bcd2backed Angels17c130.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.231030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Angels39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2140144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadc4…1ce3backed Angels40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7218446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Angels30c109.03$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4440152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Angels39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5614146.1%65 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3149…9762backed Angels75c101.33$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.333568.6%24 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Royals61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Angels63c91$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4147745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Angels39c81.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.749254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf72…a19fbacked Royals62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91a7…cac6backed Royals20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510948.6%53 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals78c74.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6970841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3655…7b1bbacked Angels39c67.95$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.45862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc482…3233backed Royals62c67.39$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.