TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91a7…cac6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
173
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: WNBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 54 out of 100; worst College Football at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT10948.6%53 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Yankees vs. Astrosbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Angels vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Mariners vs. Raysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Rangers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$50.14
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Braves vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+85.4%+$42.71
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Athletics vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Cardinals vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Yankees vs. White Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+61.2%+$23.86
Mariners vs. Guardiansbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Pirates vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Cubs vs. Giantsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Cubs vs. Giantsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Phillies vs. Metsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Phillies vs. Metsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Diamondbacks vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$25.25
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19.61
Reds vs. Diamondbacksbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+100%+$39
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$70
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$24.5
Chargers vs. 49ersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Broncos vs. Saints backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Steelers vs. Panthers backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Bengals vs. Commanders backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$40.5
Bills vs. Bears backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+70.4%+$88.01
Cardinals vs. Broncos backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$30
Jets vs. Giants backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+59.3%+$41.54
Browns vs. Eagles backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Saints vs. Chargers backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+75.9%+$37.93
Steelers vs. Jaguars backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Texans vs. Vikings backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+63.8%+$65.07
Giants vs. Bills backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$36.74
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$45
ATP Cincinnati - Zverev vs. Alcaraz backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$76.35
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Zverevbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
ATP Cincinnati - Rublev vs. Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$76.7
ATP Cincinnati - Atmane vs. Rune backed Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Leheckabacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$73.64
ATP Cincinnati - Tiafoe vs. Rune backed Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21
ATP Cincinnati - Popyrin vs. Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.1
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$48.33
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$73
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$252.56
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$56.22
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$15.97
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 2, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick53cpaid-82.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dream vs Valkyriesbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$12.42
Fever vs Sunbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+136.1%+$36.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FCSB vs. Aberdeen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.