Tennis · resolved market
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d6cd71b7dfc330a64efdc47e7d273c5a785c0839ca9b0550a2e0818152b42a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Shelton , Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Shelton | 18c | 88,444$15,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,807.54 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Shelton | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Shelton | 41c | 5,692$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.86 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Zverev | 59c | 5,500$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Zverev | 58c | 5,400$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.85 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Zverev | 80c | 5,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.05 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Shelton | 30c | 5,000$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.99 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Zverev | 58c | 5,000$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.98 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Shelton | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Shelton | 41c | 3,128$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.48 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Shelton | 43c | 2,515$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.24 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Shelton | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Shelton | 25c | 1,855$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.75 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Zverev | 57c | 1,833$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.16 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Shelton | 40c | 1,623$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.87 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Zverev | 59c | 1,602$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.88 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Zverev | 66c | 1,588$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.14 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Shelton | 42c | 1,355$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.18 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shelton | 29c | 1,009$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.76 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Shelton | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…693fbacked Zverev | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Shelton | 29c | 880.83$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.4 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Zverev | 58c | 850$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Zverev | 61c | 820.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.67 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Shelton | 39c | 759.93$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.37 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Shelton | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Zverev | 59c | 649.97$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.49 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Zverev | 59c | 631.65$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.98 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Shelton | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Shelton | 33c | 505$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.05 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…2f7ebacked Zverev | 58c | 352.47$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…3e01backed Shelton | 18c | 350$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shelton | 21c | 311.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3e…0211backed Shelton | 23c | 283.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Zverev | 57c | 279.7$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.27 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Shelton | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Zverev | 58c | 254.2$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.22 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Shelton | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Shelton | 42c | 240.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Shelton | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Shelton | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Zverev | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…bdcabacked Shelton | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Zverev | 59c | 200.85$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Shelton | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Zverev | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Zverev | 55c | 199.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Zverev | 60c | 167.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Zverev | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Shelton | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked Zverev | 60c | 135$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Shelton | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Shelton | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…972abacked Shelton | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Zverev | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Zverev | 59c | 101.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Zverev | 80c | 100.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Zverev | 74c | 95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Shelton | 43c | 90.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Shelton | 50c | 88.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed Zverev | 65c | 84.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Shelton | 41c | 75.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Shelton | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Shelton | 43c | 70.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Shelton | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…facbbacked Shelton | 42c | 68.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Zverev | 57c | 65.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…f30dbacked Shelton | 43c | 65.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Shelton | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…9effbacked Shelton | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…5d7dbacked Shelton | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Shelton | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Shelton | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Shelton | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Shelton | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…725ebacked Zverev | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5c…8b88backed Shelton | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Shelton | 43c | 35.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.