TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x27db…5897

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST2842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$200
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,536.73
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Rolex Paris Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+37%+$110.96
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$150.18
Rolex Paris Masters: Jacob Fearnley vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$466.67
Six Kings Slam: Zverev vs Fritzbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Will Novak Djokovic win a Major in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
US Open: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger Aliassimebacked Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$319.47
US Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jerome Kymbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
US Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
US Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
US Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Holger Runebacked Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$66.77
US Open: Cameron Norrie vs Sebastian Kordabacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+132.8%+$66.4
US Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Borna Coricbacked Coric · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
US Open: Jakub Mensik vs Nicolas Jarrybacked Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
ATP Cincinnati - Zverev vs. Alcaraz backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Atmanebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+53.9%+$29.63
ATP Cincinnati - Atmane vs. Rune backed Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$286.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Udachne by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.