Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dba5534295d76784fb4aa96a0bdff87cb113945fbcecf9d175748c9da0e0a01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aliassimeof Aliassime, Rublev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Rublev | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,749.99 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Aliassime | 45c | 22,601$10,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,330.6 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Rublev | 54c | 19,322$10,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,501.68 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Aliassime | 56c | 16,722$9,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,329.96 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Aliassime | 44c | 14,450$6,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,032.34 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Rublev | 28c | 7,998$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.83 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Rublev | 32c | 7,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Aliassime | 44c | 5,769$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.53 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Rublev | 66c | 4,863$3,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.31 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…a65ebacked Aliassime | 45c | 4,826$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Aliassime | 73c | 4,770$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.32 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Aliassime | 73c | 4,258$3,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.34 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Aliassime | 45c | 3,932$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.53 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Rublev | 56c | 3,570$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rublev | 10c | 3,044$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.06 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Rublev | 29c | 3,040$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.97 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Rublev | 33c | 3,000$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.01 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Rublev | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Aliassime | 53c | 2,085$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.65 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Aliassime | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Rublev | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Rublev | 44c | 1,809$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.64 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Rublev | 56c | 1,784$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.24 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Rublev | 20c | 1,777$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.54 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Aliassime | 45c | 1,502$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Aliassime | 51c | 1,500$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.2 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Rublev | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Aliassime | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.45 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Aliassime | 45c | 1,094$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.45 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rublev | 48c | 1,050$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.53 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Rublev | 60c | 1,046$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Aliassime | 49c | 1,019$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.1 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed Rublev | 49c | 1,000$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.04 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Rublev | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Aliassime | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Rublev | 34c | 982.59$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.08 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Rublev | 38c | 922.82$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.87 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e85…1ccdbacked Rublev | 35c | 914.79$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.87 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Aliassime | 54c | 840.54$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.54 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Aliassime | 67c | 820.83$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.89 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…5590backed Aliassime | 48c | 806.18$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Aliassime | 44c | 734.26$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.89 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Rublev | 55c | 710$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.5 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Rublev | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Rublev | 55c | 634$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Aliassime | 55c | 627.85$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.53 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rublev | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Rublev | 6c | 550$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…f4f2backed Aliassime | 46c | 539.13$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Aliassime | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Aliassime | 42c | 507$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.06 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Aliassime | 67c | 487.93$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.93 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Rublev | 55c | 449.92$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Rublev | 49c | 400.01$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.19 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed Rublev | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Rublev | 58c | 342.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Rublev | 56c | 335$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Aliassime | 46c | 330$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Rublev | 11c | 317.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +84%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Aliassime | 58c | 312.84$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Rublev | 34c | 295.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Aliassime | 48c | 275.73$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.38 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Aliassime | 45c | 274$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.54 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Rublev | 20c | 254.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Aliassime | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…9012backed Rublev | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Rublev | 55c | 231.47$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…141cbacked Aliassime | 67c | 222.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…722bbacked Rublev | 56c | 222.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Aliassime | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Aliassime | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Aliassime | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Aliassime | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Rublev | 36c | 205.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…e7bebacked Rublev | 43c | 200.61$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca35…5b58backed Rublev | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Rublev | 44c | 193$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Rublev | 30c | 185$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Aliassime | 43c | 148.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Rublev | 55c | 139.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed Rublev | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Rublev | 56c | 135$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Aliassime | 60c | 121$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Aliassime | 56c | 111.02$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Rublev | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ea3dbacked Rublev | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac3…c2c2backed Rublev | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Rublev | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Rublev | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Rublev | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Rublev | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…4f78backed Rublev | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Aliassime | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Aliassime | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Aliassime | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…e171backed Rublev | 68c | 65.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f4…43d0backed Rublev | 38c | 65.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aliassime | 68c | 61.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Rublev | 67c | 53.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…b4ecbacked Aliassime | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.