TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8a05…5c62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT4639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,823Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,823.22
CS: FURIA vs Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,072.34
CS: The MongolZ vs Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
LoL: TES vs ALbacked AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,555.5
LoL: KT vs HLEbacked KT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,339.51
CS: FURIA vs Astralisbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$7,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,190.92
CS: PARIVISION vs Ninjas in Pyjamasbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$251.72
CS: Aurora vs Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11,196Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+166.9%+$18,687.03
CS: Gentle Mates vs 9INEbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+107.4%+$908.8
CS: B8 vs OGbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$619.01
CS: G2 vs The MongolZbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$700.6
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked DK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,005.36
Valorant: DRX vs NRGbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,209Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+78.8%+$2,528.06
Valorant: PRX vs GXbacked GX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,133.17
LoL: DK vs BFXbacked BFX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,283.54
CS: FaZe vs Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,860Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+190.2%+$5,439.98
CS: FURIA vs paiNbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.61
CS: TYLOO vs Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18,800Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$21,200
CS: 3DMAX vs Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,488Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+186.1%+$10,212.45
CS: G2 vs GamerLegionbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.51
CS: Astralis vs paiNbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$8,750Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$16,249.97
LoL: FNC vs GXbacked GX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,748Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,747.69
CS: 3DMAX vs GamerLegionbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,553Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+117.7%+$6,537.74
CS: Liquid vs HEROICbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+98.4%+$2,115.76
LoL: BLG vs TESbacked BLG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12,750Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$12,249.97
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT4330.2%13 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOIbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$6,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,247.55
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.Gbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,598.95
LoL: GEN vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$6,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,897.44
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. Anyone's Legendbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,171.55
League of Legends: EDward Gaming vs. JD Gamingbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,905Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,904.64
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. BNK FEARXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,552.71
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,746.78
League of Legends: T1 vs. Dplus KIAbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,552.7
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100,732Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+119.1%+$119,952.44
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. Fnaticbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,679Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+74.4%+$1,248.81
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. BNK FEARXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15,614Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+105.5%+$16,466.97
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Weibo Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$1,099.17
League of Legends: T1 vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31,800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$18,199.99
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13,854Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4,618.07
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16,313Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8,783.93
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Invictus Gamingbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,504Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+83.7%+$8,787.96
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. DN Freecsbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,900
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Team WEbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41,175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$18,078.43
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. DRXbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$6,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,383.94
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. EDward Gamingbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,303.44
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. Nongshim Red Forcebacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$695.21
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,186Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+147.8%+$4,707.34
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DN Freecsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$5,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,388.42
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Top Esportsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,400
League of Legends: T1 vs. KT Rolsterbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$6,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,371.87
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,061.72
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Damir Dzumhur vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.58
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$8,575Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$10,913.95
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12,854Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,854.42
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Alcaraz? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.7
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,323.41
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13,874Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,873.85
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12,354Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8,246
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublevbacked Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$6,418Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+125.2%+$8,032.34
US Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Leandro Riedibacked Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.77
US Open: Jan Lennard Struff vs Holger Runebacked Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,164.33
US Open: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Comesanabacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23,189Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+52.2%+$12,100.5
US Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Marcos Gironbacked Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21,879Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$21,879.16
US Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17,781Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17,780.88
US Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,218.82
US Open: Ugo Humbert vs Adam Waltonbacked Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,954Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+203%+$10,059.99
US Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11,109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$15,986.5
US Open: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,450.13
ATP Winston Salem - Korda vs. Fucsovicsbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$7,144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+179.4%+$12,819.66
ATP Cincinnati - Auger-Aliassime vs. Bonzi backed Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$9,939Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+43.6%+$4,336.69
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Mannarinobacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.35
ATP Cincinnati - Popyrin vs. Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,161Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+58.9%+$3,626.04
ATP Cincinnati - Mannarino vs. Paul backed Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,963Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+253.1%+$15,095.73
ATP Toronto – Rublev vs. Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,675Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$1,317.46
ATP Toronto – Michelsen vs. Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20,400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9,600
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-61.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+113.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+180.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs Paper Rexbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$8,571Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,571.1
Valorant: NRG vs GIANTXbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12,909Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+71.2%+$9,188.76
Valorant: Team Heretics vs MIBRbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$18,646.98
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54.5%+$82.1
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$97.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29,192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.9%+$15,742.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Euro Basket: Finland vs Germanybacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$669.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.