Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. Nongshim Red Force
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x399f8836e99ee8479b581614fa71d4f275d8e7e10eef2e16a4f66fc30120d978
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gen.Gof Gen.G, Nongshim
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nongshim | 3c | 55,503$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.09 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Nongshim | 4c | 18,905$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.21 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nongshim | 4c | 17,326$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.19 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed Nongshim | 0c | 10,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Nongshim | 4c | 9,444$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Nongshim | 1c | 5,894$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 406 | 51.7%210 W · 196 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nongshim | 4c | 3,949$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Nongshim | 2c | 2,500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nongshim | 2c | 1,908$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nongshim | 3c | 1,203$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Nongshim | 3c | 1,170$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Nongshim | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Nongshim | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Nongshim | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nongshim | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Nongshim | 4c | 600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Nongshim | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nongshim | 4c | 509$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…6960backed Nongshim | 4c | 464.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…9908backed Nongshim | 5c | 231.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.