Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Weibo Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe30b7a2c2678048cb4df8cadceada8df6fc920267224e16cf0309535b47ceb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Top Esports, Weibo Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Top Esports | 74c | 24,705$18,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,442.18 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Weibo Gaming | 26c | 18,157$4,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,746.78 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Weibo Gaming | 12c | 10,428$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.43 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Weibo Gaming | 26c | 9,474$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.97 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Weibo Gaming | 18c | 8,606$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.61 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Weibo Gaming | 5c | 6,525$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.76 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed Weibo Gaming | 7c | 4,311$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.77 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Weibo Gaming | 17c | 4,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Weibo Gaming | 9c | 3,262$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.58 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Weibo Gaming | 26c | 3,021$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.18 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Top Esports | 75c | 2,759$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.21 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…610ebacked Weibo Gaming | 12c | 2,260$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.09 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Weibo Gaming | 36c | 2,075$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.12 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Top Esports | 73c | 2,070$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.6 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Weibo Gaming | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Weibo Gaming | 26c | 1,960$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.54 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Top Esports | 73c | 1,930$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.1 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Top Esports | 72c | 1,888$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.6 | 263 | 60.1%158 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Weibo Gaming | 15c | 1,706$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.27 | 402 | 32.8%132 W · 270 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Top Esports | 76c | 1,347$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.21 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65aa…6db2backed Weibo Gaming | 28c | 1,286$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed Weibo Gaming | 11c | 1,105$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Weibo Gaming | 25c | 908.43$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.11 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Top Esports | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Top Esports | 76c | 790$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Top Esports | 74c | 758.45$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Weibo Gaming | 7c | 716$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Top Esports | 74c | 670$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed Top Esports | 76c | 660$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Top Esports | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Top Esports | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 98 | 70.4%69 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Weibo Gaming | 10c | 465.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Weibo Gaming | 27c | 420$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Top Esports | 74c | 411.8$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Top Esports | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Weibo Gaming | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Weibo Gaming | 15c | 397$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Weibo Gaming | 9c | 396$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Weibo Gaming | 16c | 300.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 386 | 24.4%94 W · 292 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Top Esports | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Top Esports | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed Top Esports | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Weibo Gaming | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked Top Esports | 73c | 220$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Weibo Gaming | 21c | 218.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Top Esports | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Weibo Gaming | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Weibo Gaming | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked Weibo Gaming | 13c | 181$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Top Esports | 74c | 160.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Weibo Gaming | 26c | 152.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 504 | 55%277 W · 227 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked Weibo Gaming | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Weibo Gaming | 27c | 149.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Top Esports | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b92…a8f2backed Weibo Gaming | 19c | 126.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Top Esports | 76c | 114.47$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d2…492ebacked Top Esports | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Weibo Gaming | 26c | 107.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Top Esports | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…cecbbacked Weibo Gaming | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Top Esports | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…35e4backed Top Esports | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Top Esports | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…7dddbacked Top Esports | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed56…9662backed Top Esports | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Top Esports | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Top Esports | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Top Esports | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed Top Esports | 75c | 20.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Top Esports | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Top Esports | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Top Esports | 74c | 17.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Top Esports | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.