TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ddd…6144

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT4742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.97
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend - Map 4 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$11.59
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30.87
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.53
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.02
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.71
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+63.2%+$15.16
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+92%+$41.41
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
CS: paiN vs Virtus.probacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$10.84
CS: FaZe vs Liquidbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.8
CS: Astralis vs Legacybacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.01
CS: FURIA vs paiNbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.55
CS: TYLOO vs Liquidbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.99
CS: 3DMAX vs Virtus.probacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
CS: Aurora vs FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.39
CS: Falcons vs FaZebacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT3360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs RE.Arise - Game 2 Winnerbacked RE.Arise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Habibis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Hive - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Dota 2: BALU vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$7.91
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$17.24
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.63
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+126%+$17.64
Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$41.09
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Xtreme Gamingbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+139.9%+$41.96
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Team Falconsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+133.8%+$66.92
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Nigma Galaxybacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. BetBoom Teambacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+97.5%+$48.77
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. PARIVISIONbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs. Nigma Galaxybacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+211.4%+$42.28
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs. HEROICbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+171.4%+$40.06
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Nigma Galaxybacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.22
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Tundra Esportsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$22.49
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. Team Spiritbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs. Tundra Esportsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+167.8%+$33.56
Dota 2: Aurora vs. Nigma Galaxybacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+150%+$29.81
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs. Natus Vincerebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Team Tideboundbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5.19
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. Fnaticbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.