Fifa International · resolved market
Will Romania win on 2025-09-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49bcb50cd9eb9a6dd0f042f179124d3c2d7530bfe78ce55919c26b15f5521e49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 60c | 92,348$55,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,401.84 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 42c | 36,026$14,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,056.77 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 44c | 35,870$15,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,087 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 34c | 21,414$7,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,075 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 40c | 14,069$5,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,446.78 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…2f1fbacked Yes | 56c | 12,500$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 38c | 11,853$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,379.21 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.99 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 4,586$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.16 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 60c | 4,183$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 44c | 3,655$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.86 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 46c | 3,169$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed No | 27c | 2,838$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…fdf6backed Yes | 55c | 2,659$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 44c | 2,546$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.78 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 42c | 2,505$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.85 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 76c | 2,174$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…59c1backed Yes | 72c | 2,061$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.65 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 38c | 1,550$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…fedcbacked Yes | 56c | 1,502$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed No | 47c | 1,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 40c | 1,476$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.57 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 38c | 1,450$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed No | 45c | 1,295$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…cec7backed Yes | 58c | 1,235$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 42c | 981.95$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.53 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 44c | 823.43$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 74c | 815.75$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.62 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…52dcbacked Yes | 56c | 810.86$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 800.01$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.71 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 44c | 775.21$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.05 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 35c | 735.15$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.7 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 41c | 655$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.45 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ab…ab0dbacked Yes | 62c | 580.16$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 23c | 553.42$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.13 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 45c | 468.76$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.89 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…1267backed Yes | 77c | 441.55$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 47c | 426.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.26 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 11c | 425.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.42 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked No | 43c | 425$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…4291backed Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 40c | 324.11$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.95 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Yes | 58c | 303.26$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 40c | 300$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 36c | 291.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.63 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 63c | 280.92$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.98 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 38c | 272.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.09 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 77c | 258.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 44c | 252.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.28 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 53c | 248.8$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 39c | 232.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 41c | 229.2$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…e3bfbacked Yes | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 29c | 201.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.72 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca1…4268backed Yes | 72c | 181.48$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 56c | 178.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 71c | 167.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 62c | 161.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3241…0297backed Yes | 63c | 160.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 63c | 157.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…3ab9backed Yes | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…e4dbbacked Yes | 66c | 143.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Yes | 44c | 135$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a4…52b5backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…9eccbacked Yes | 71c | 126.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…3f3ebacked Yes | 73c | 125.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…55d9backed Yes | 59c | 118.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 39c | 115$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…e093backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…413ebacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x898d…f6a5backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5edf…2f34backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…65e1backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 64c | 94.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…59e8backed Yes | 73c | 82.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed Yes | 63c | 79.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…67debacked Yes | 56c | 74.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 40c | 69.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…a0bdbacked Yes | 23c | 68.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 63c | 67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Yes | 56c | 65.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 59c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…bafbbacked Yes | 63c | 64.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Yes | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Romania win on 2025-09-09?this page
- Will Cyprus vs. Romania end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Cyprus win on 2025-09-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.