TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5edf…2f34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+72.4%+$54.6
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.2
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+55.9%+$136.2
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$26
Steelers vs. Jetsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Sharksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.9
Predators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$82.8
Flames vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$164
Predators vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$98.4
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$399
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$370.44
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$64
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$115.5
Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Eastern Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$23.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $114K August 25–31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will Ethereum dip to $4200 August 25–31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.