NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fb5a34e9586d916ac512afb441d73232a16a90c6373eaf64f1a5d58f59452cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Flames, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 641 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Lightning | 64c | 40,000$25,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Flames | 36c | 34,569$12,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,444.67 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Flames | 0c | 14,220$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Flames | 0c | 11,370$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Flames | 38c | 11,084$4,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,212.11 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…e288backed Lightning | 74c | 9,900$7,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…02e8backed Flames | 26c | 9,900$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Flames | 37c | 8,995$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.99 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lightning | 63c | 6,416$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.8 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Flames | 38c | 5,323$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.87 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Lightning | 62c | 5,032$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.24 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flames | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Flames | 38c | 4,279$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.01 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lightning | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Flames | 37c | 3,284$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.28 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Flames | 0c | 3,280$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1d64backed Lightning | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Flames | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.98 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flames | 37c | 2,827$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.34 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Lightning | 62c | 2,600$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Lightning | 62c | 2,364$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.31 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Flames | 8c | 2,160$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.78 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Lightning | 63c | 2,045$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.65 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Flames | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Flames | 12c | 1,891$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.92 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 62c | 1,705$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.88 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lightning | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.99 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Flames | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Lightning | 62c | 1,596$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.97 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Flames | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.97 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Flames | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.95 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 62c | 1,426$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.88 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2d…2332backed Flames | 38c | 1,370$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9843…45dcbacked Lightning | 63c | 1,370$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames | 36c | 1,228$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.17 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Flames | 38c | 1,168$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.97 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Lightning | 63c | 1,136$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.88 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 61c | 1,112$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.84 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 36c | 1,099$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.6 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Flames | 38c | 1,050$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flames | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Flames | 37c | 1,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Lightning | 63c | 959.99$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 32c | 934.31$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.89 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lightning | 63c | 920.07$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.43 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Flames | 37c | 899.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb313…f17bbacked Lightning | 59c | 847.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Flames | 37c | 826.2$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.69 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0a…4912backed Flames | 41c | 804$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Lightning | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 62c | 645$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Lightning | 63c | 573.02$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f1…4596backed Flames | 38c | 572.87$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…285dbacked Flames | 38c | 525.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lightning | 63c | 506.9$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.02 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Lightning | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -15.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Lightning | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Flames | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…b5d7backed Lightning | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Lightning | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…54debacked Flames | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4343backed Lightning | 70c | 490$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ff…406bbacked Flames | 37c | 490$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6517…42f1backed Flames | 37c | 490$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…422fbacked Lightning | 63c | 490$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…6149backed Flames | 35c | 490$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…5c8dbacked Flames | 36c | 490$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…3b99backed Flames | 35c | 490$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…15d8backed Lightning | 63c | 490$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…a33bbacked Lightning | 64c | 490$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…3fc5backed Lightning | 64c | 490$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecb…4abbbacked Lightning | 65c | 490$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…10a5backed Flames | 37c | 490$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…7b6bbacked Lightning | 65c | 490$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…9f61backed Flames | 36c | 490$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4c…9f73backed Lightning | 63c | 490$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3c8cbacked Lightning | 63c | 490$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a73…cb28backed Flames | 36c | 490$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…920abacked Flames | 37c | 490$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8292…2cd8backed Flames | 37c | 490$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…5ef1backed Lightning | 63c | 490$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf431…669cbacked Lightning | 64c | 490$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…0fe2backed Flames | 37c | 480$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…b314backed Flames | 36c | 480$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d8…701ebacked Lightning | 63c | 480$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…ce16backed Flames | 35c | 480$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…ca21backed Lightning | 65c | 480$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…e556backed Flames | 36c | 480$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…fad7backed Flames | 36c | 480$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2a…1ad9backed Flames | 37c | 480$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…41f1backed Lightning | 64c | 480$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca57…7dcfbacked Lightning | 64c | 480$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032d…584abacked Lightning | 63c | 480$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3a…79cebacked Flames | 37c | 480$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…e1a7backed Lightning | 63c | 480$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…2deabacked Lightning | 64c | 480$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3c…23f5backed Flames | 36c | 480$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dc…dbd9backed Lightning | 64c | 480$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…778abacked Lightning | 64c | 470$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Lightningthis page
- Flames vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.