Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf894f00694cdbc9a8bc57abd2076a1aba1eb60ef622777ebd8c6186400d55b54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd22…2013backed Yes | 42c | 2,788$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.02 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…b31ebacked No | 79c | 1,263$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.52 | 162 | 95.7%155 W · 7 L | +61.2wins | +0.38per pick | 58cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 86+0.33 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 67c | 920.35$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.73 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 15c | 853.97$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 74c | 504.56$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 17c | 499.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 24c | 433.3$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.51 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 58c | 398.84$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.22 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 35c | 378.54$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked Yes | 4c | 299.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 54c | 287.35$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.51 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 39c | 216.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 36c | 211.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 65c | 192.42$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 36c | 186.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 56c | 161.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 65c | 151.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc4…eb39backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…bbc5backed No | 62c | 143.78$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 59c | 135.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 14c | 122.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 53c | 122$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 55c | 117.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked No | 55c | 105$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 57c | 103.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 52c | 98.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 56c | 92.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 68c | 92.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…d114backed No | 72c | 89.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 53c | 88.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…66b4backed Yes | 33c | 81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 63c | 79.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 52c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 28c | 78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 57c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 56c | 75.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 54c | 75.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 55c | 71.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 76c | 69.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 37c | 68.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed No | 54c | 68.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 53c | 65.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked No | 55c | 65.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 52c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 44c | 62.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 55c | 61.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed No | 56c | 60.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 41c | 55.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 40c | 55.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 66c | 53.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 27c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edf…2f34backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…c67fbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…5f76backed No | 78c | 49.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 95 | 69.5%66 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 57c | 48.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a14…5bb2backed No | 71c | 47.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 59c | 46.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 51c | 45.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 44c | 44.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 59c | 43.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…02e9backed No | 64c | 41.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816d…47d0backed No | 72c | 41.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…21a5backed Yes | 35c | 39.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 58c | 39.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 31c | 37.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes | 37c | 35.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked No | 59c | 33.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 59c | 32.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 59c | 31.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 66c | 30.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77e…aea7backed No | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 54c | 29.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 62c | 28.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 78c | 28.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…ab27backed No | 79c | 28.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…d734backed Yes | 37c | 27.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 53c | 25.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 315 | 64.8%204 W · 111 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 50c | 24.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 55c | 24.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 65c | 20.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.