Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10f2b8f71e527e0259249677796090d1c622513ca1ee8d10dca92ed04c2ffaf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 48c | 3,520$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.62 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 32c | 1,316$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.08 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 3c | 878.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 70c | 752.75$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.18 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 56c | 741.52$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.53 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 38c | 455$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.81 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 49c | 429.05$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.54 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 43c | 374.09$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 35c | 343.46$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.56 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 55c | 327.41$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.16 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 61c | 315.11$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.85 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 34c | 310.82$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 61c | 287.35$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.53 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 74c | 280.49$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.32 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 39c | 258.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 57c | 227.57$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.79 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 52c | 226.13$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 193.27$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 53c | 177.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…8c58backed No | 10c | 160.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a14…5bb2backed Yes | 67c | 156.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5a…b6c6backed Yes | 73c | 149.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 67c | 132$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff82…bd3cbacked Yes | 70c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 63c | 127.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 121.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…9a05backed No | 29c | 120.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 206 | 31.1%64 W · 142 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 29c | 113.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 62c | 108.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 59c | 108.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 42c | 107.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked No | 62c | 105$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 135 | 88.1%119 W · 16 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…b2ffbacked Yes | 40c | 95.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…bbc5backed No | 57c | 95.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 50c | 93.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 52c | 93.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 50c | 91.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 38c | 89.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 86.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 46c | 86.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 85.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked Yes | 56c | 84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…a9d2backed No | 20c | 75.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 292 | 19.5%57 W · 235 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 46c | 75.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 50c | 72.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 72.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…c14bbacked Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 37c | 69.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed No | 37c | 67.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 64c | 66.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 45c | 66.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed Yes | 43c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 38c | 63.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 37c | 60.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ad…39c6backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 62c | 59.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad81…d891backed Yes | 29c | 57.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 40c | 56.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 40c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 62c | 53.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 51c | 52.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed No | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 64c | 50.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f52…3785backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 39c | 48.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 57c | 46.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 61c | 46.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 45c | 46.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 41c | 45.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898d…f6a5backed Yes | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 55c | 42.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 43c | 42.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…a75ebacked Yes | 70c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked Yes | 38c | 40.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…5473backed Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 62c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf722…4e1ebacked No | 43c | 37.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 36c | 35.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 62c | 32.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 63c | 29.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…8793backed Yes | 69c | 29.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 68c | 28.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 42c | 28.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…97c4backed No | 60c | 26.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x426b…6bb8backed No | 64c | 25.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6b…e23cbacked No | 58c | 25.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 56c | 23.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 53c | 23.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.