TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfb55…ff0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
232
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tweets, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT15529%45 W · 110 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 155 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.68
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.07
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.8
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.49
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.14
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$66.04
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 155 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$89.67
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$33.08
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$39
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+199.4%+$133.2
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+206%+$30.41
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.67
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+400%+$160
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.97
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.86
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$92.06
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$48.63
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$63
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$102
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$92.64
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.26
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$75.67
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$22.8
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.14
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$71.48
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45.72
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$37.73
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$457.79
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+30.3%+$123.68
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+34.4%+$179
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+59.9%+$282.29
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+44.8%+$147.12
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-78%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+153.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+65.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$93.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Train Dreams - Train Dreams win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Singapore win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.