Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0db0704cbc83fc96ecfc8cbdbbb932ed54e92d39752b615986dc2c56492791fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 3c | 3,310$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,585$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2851…6b8cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,351$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 683 | 38.8%265 W · 418 L | +36.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Yes | 26c | 919.52$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.32 | 339 | 29.5%100 W · 239 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…afe6backed Yes | 11c | 878.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 272 | 26.5%72 W · 200 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Yes | 10c | 799.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 161 | 26.1%42 W · 119 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked Yes | 3c | 774.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…3122backed Yes | 4c | 728.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 474 | 23.6%112 W · 362 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 539.56$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 40c | 462.75$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.22 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 11c | 462.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b9f8backed Yes | 6c | 459.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 349 | 22.9%80 W · 269 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 4c | 443.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 376$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.66 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 12c | 327.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 73c | 324$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed Yes | 29c | 307.53$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…1e93backed Yes | 33c | 303.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 75c | 288$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb99b…b581backed Yes | 27c | 270$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…db74backed Yes | 21c | 249.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 260 | 25%65 W · 195 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 24c | 249$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 23c | 244.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…f73cbacked Yes | 25c | 242.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 218.54$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce67…5c3abacked Yes | 13c | 200.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242d…6119backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…38e2backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 176$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e42…4938backed Yes | 15c | 169.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 388 | 30.2%117 W · 271 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…96bdbacked No | 63c | 158.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb335…aac1backed Yes | 13c | 153.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 18c | 133.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 66c | 130.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked Yes | 25c | 121.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 118.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 60c | 116$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…d734backed Yes | 26c | 114.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…e046backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 569 | 21.8%124 W · 445 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Yes | 15c | 88.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 66c | 88.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 70c | 79.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…91f7backed Yes | 25c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 176 | 35.2%62 W · 114 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef9…964cbacked Yes | 21c | 61.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 71c | 61.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…2aeebacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13eb…e57ebacked Yes | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 24.1%28 W · 88 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 24c | 58.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…e9f5backed Yes | 38c | 56.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 65c | 51.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 74c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 350 | 63.1%221 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 48.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…3007backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 269 | 48.3%130 W · 139 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…dbaabacked Yes | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 75c | 39.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c41…8f2cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 73c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…54c9backed No | 63c | 26.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 70c | 24.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 73c | 20.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 317 | 66.9%212 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 552 | 61.6%340 W · 212 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fc0fbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed No | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 68c | 17.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…81dcbacked No | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.