Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x980e6d847ad6057dc3b51501814ff12537c37e706dc990547b2b2d0f3e79b1bc

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $956,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $649,573

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $956,262 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	2c	63,312$1,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,243.71	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	7c	20,775$1,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,414.66	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	3c	18,845$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.65	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	10c	18,340$1,755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,754.76	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	6c	15,993$958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$957.65	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	14,844$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.84	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	14,268$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.26	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	5c	10,806$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.66	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	7c	10,697$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.67	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	2c	9,796$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.53	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	2c	9,200$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.19	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	10c	9,000$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911.69	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	12c	8,452$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975.55	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf452…8ff9backed Yes	1c	8,114$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.67	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	1c	7,617$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.25	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	1c	6,512$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.99	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	3c	6,248$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.18	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	9c	5,932$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.68	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	19c	5,580$1,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,036.2	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	9c	5,559$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	1c	5,448$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.63	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x965f…50debacked Yes	1c	5,390$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.93	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	10c	5,326$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.1	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	4c	5,230$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	19c	5,129$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	3c	4,620$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.63	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	5c	4,485$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.23	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	4c	4,196$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.16	89	15.7%14 W · 75 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	4,043$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.97	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	1c	3,865$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	2c	3,783$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.73	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes	2c	3,720$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.02	63	12.7%8 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	4c	3,693$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.05	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	9c	3,550$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	78c	3,500$2,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$768.48	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	3,338$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.73	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	8c	3,296$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.24	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	4c	3,240$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.34	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	4c	2,900$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.1	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	22c	2,832$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.15	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	7c	2,826$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.98	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	3c	2,700$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.4	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	15c	2,685$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.27	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	2,670$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.01	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	13c	2,623$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.23	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	2,619$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	17c	2,548$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.45	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	8c	2,500$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.78	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	14c	2,499$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.48	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	15c	2,307$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.39	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc931…7d46backed Yes	0c	2,288$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5364…c64dbacked Yes	4c	2,271$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	151	64.9%98 W · 53 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Yes	3c	2,252$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.75	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	5c	2,206$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.3	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0923…88c7backed Yes	1c	2,169$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	2,108$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.5	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes	7c	2,107$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.95	345	15.9%55 W · 290 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	5c	2,055$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.69	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9476…28bcbacked Yes	3c	2,050$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.11	118	38.1%45 W · 73 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	18c	2,015$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.33	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	16c	2,000$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	10c	1,980$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.78	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	8c	1,950$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.17	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	15c	1,935$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.07	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	2c	1,840$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.72	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	5c	1,806$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	10c	1,787$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.24	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	6c	1,783$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.87	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	8c	1,758$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.3	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	6c	1,725$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.86	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdc7…7780backed Yes	12c	1,671$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.79	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.14per pick	30cpaid	+78.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	18c	1,651$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes	7c	1,576$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.64	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	2c	1,570$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.92	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	3c	1,557$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.7	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeca2…20e6backed Yes	7c	1,520$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.21	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	11c	1,519$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.64	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Yes	4c	1,508$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	102	7.8%8 W · 94 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…d4febacked Yes	20c	1,500$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	2c	1,500$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	1,500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac32…6e3bbacked Yes	3c	1,475$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	14cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	8c	1,465$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.2	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	8c	1,465$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.1	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bae…ae53backed Yes	17c	1,387$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.72	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf096…28a8backed Yes	7c	1,379$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	105	30.5%32 W · 73 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	8c	1,322$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	1,300$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Yes	13c	1,296$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.25	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x304b…57b2backed Yes	2c	1,207$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.03	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+105%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	10c	1,200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	26c	1,195$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.06	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ab…7949backed Yes	4c	1,166$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc73…d73abacked Yes	22c	1,130$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.7	51	29.4%15 W · 36 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event