Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x644cebbf496d0fe92d6f166b68238f89673f5b9b474e1efab5ef392ce9806924
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $897,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $472,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $897,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 9c | 21,455$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.26 | 563 | 29.8%168 W · 395 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 2c | 15,255$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.98 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes | 0c | 14,658$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 88 | 12.5%11 W · 77 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 14,434$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 6c | 12,499$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.09 | 380 | 10%38 W · 342 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a58…7e08backed Yes | 0c | 11,651$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 140 | 9.3%13 W · 127 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +642.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 2c | 11,366$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.81 | 1,036 | 11.1%115 W · 921 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9994…03ddbacked Yes | 0c | 10,640$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 112 | 4.5%5 W · 107 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes | 3c | 10,562$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.92 | 165 | 6.7%11 W · 154 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 6c | 10,237$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.55 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…892bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 17.5%31 W · 146 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…19b7backed Yes | 0c | 9,100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…af26backed Yes | 12c | 7,844$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.98 | 138 | 17.4%24 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed Yes | 7c | 7,489$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.81 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459c…7ebcbacked Yes | 14c | 7,208$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.58 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…7e35backed Yes | 2c | 7,188$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.62 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 6c | 7,107$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.16 | 126 | 14.3%18 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 2c | 6,900$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.12 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…e977backed Yes | 4c | 6,875$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 590 | 9.2%54 W · 536 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe46…8b21backed Yes | 3c | 6,319$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.6 | 218 | 16.1%35 W · 183 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Yes | 6c | 6,059$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.19 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 6c | 6,056$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.84 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 2c | 5,947$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 102 | 7.8%8 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 4c | 5,744$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.56 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 21c | 5,417$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.38 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 8c | 5,299$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.7 | 574 | 20.9%120 W · 454 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 10c | 5,236$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.21 | 532 | 22.7%121 W · 411 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 2c | 5,007$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 552 | 5.6%31 W · 521 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e99…72a0backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 145 | 7.6%11 W · 134 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 17.2%44 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,948$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 730 | 4.5%33 W · 697 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…229ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,572$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.61 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…71afbacked Yes | 5c | 4,458$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.73 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…440ebacked Yes | 5c | 4,340$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.6 | 211 | 6.6%14 W · 197 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…5204backed Yes | 5c | 4,162$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 4c | 4,104$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.25 | 209 | 7.7%16 W · 193 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 3c | 4,037$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 4c | 3,962$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 558 | 8.2%46 W · 512 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 6c | 3,958$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.81 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 9c | 3,777$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.54 | 879 | 17.2%151 W · 728 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…23fdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,625$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 154 | 35.1%54 W · 100 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 3,601$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.83 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee2…6580backed Yes | 3c | 3,590$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.15 | 210 | 28.6%60 W · 150 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 3,393$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Yes | 3c | 3,231$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…eeb5backed Yes | 2c | 3,130$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x903e…ac24backed Yes | 7c | 3,035$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes | 10c | 3,026$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.84 | 292 | 27.7%81 W · 211 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c0…a338backed Yes | 1c | 2,976$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 364 | 4.7%17 W · 347 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…72bbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,968$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5864…76b9backed Yes | 10c | 2,913$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.35 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes | 2c | 2,731$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 301 | 10.3%31 W · 270 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7766…b7f6backed Yes | 1c | 2,700$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 321 | 10%32 W · 289 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 7c | 2,624$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.74 | 876 | 18.4%161 W · 715 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…20e6backed Yes | 6c | 2,580$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes | 9c | 2,540$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.72 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…6760backed Yes | 13c | 2,522$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.95 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…4375backed Yes | 14c | 2,495$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 254 | 13.4%34 W · 220 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 2c | 2,491$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,060 | 8.4%89 W · 971 L | +29.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1e…2858backed Yes | 1c | 2,359$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 117 | 29.1%34 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…956bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,221$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 479 | 8.6%41 W · 438 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 3c | 2,200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 151 | 5.3%8 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +227.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes | 5c | 2,150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 76 | 6.6%5 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 8c | 2,125$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 266 | 19.5%52 W · 214 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,087$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.48 | 114 | 16.7%19 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…3f0ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,059$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,045$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 630 | 21.7%137 W · 493 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 2c | 2,037$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 882 | 10.3%91 W · 791 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes | 2c | 2,004$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 413 | 10.7%44 W · 369 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 480 | 6.9%33 W · 447 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,998$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 17.8%24 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…4612backed Yes | 6c | 1,964$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.38 | 273 | 16.8%46 W · 227 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,837$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 5c | 1,795$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 826 | 14.9%123 W · 703 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09d…d5a9backed Yes | 4c | 1,776$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…bf4dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,765$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 100 | 15%15 W · 85 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 7c | 1,761$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.81 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…0813backed Yes | 2c | 1,740$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 277 | 7.9%22 W · 255 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…4403backed Yes | 3c | 1,708$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,699$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.07 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…f4e1backed Yes | 2c | 1,676$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…599ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,668$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…7f66backed Yes | 7c | 1,655$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 197 | 26.9%53 W · 144 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314d…65bfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,633$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 320 | 15%48 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936a…50bfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,463$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Yes | 5c | 1,413$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 2c | 1,400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 562 | 8.9%50 W · 512 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815d…0ffbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,376$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf669…4d34backed Yes | 4c | 1,364$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 2c | 1,363$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518a…e507backed Yes | 3c | 1,311$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…9319backed Yes | 1c | 1,303$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 345 | 15.9%55 W · 290 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1169…d622backed Yes | 14c | 1,232$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.81 | 87 | 5.7%5 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Yes | 2c | 1,229$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 296 | 10.5%31 W · 265 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,208$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 328 | 1.2%4 W · 324 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc47b…9843backed Yes | 3c | 1,188$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…2971backed Yes | 3c | 1,168$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…00c5backed Yes | 3c | 1,161$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.