Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x640a5dd28f6978685a9055cb34ad7c2d18e55d7996faba40facdefe3e5263dbb

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $802,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $310,225

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $802,558 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	0c	18,620$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	4c	17,085$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.02	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	1c	15,576$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.27	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	15,460$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.17	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	14,647$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.08	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	1c	12,788$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.37	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	12,617$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.32	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	11,608$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.77	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	0c	11,472$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff4e…5502backed Yes	0c	9,980$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.98	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	0cpaid	+2,531.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	9,541$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	0c	9,391$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	9,001$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.42	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	1c	8,446$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.16	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	8,407$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.82	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc94…5204backed Yes	1c	7,914$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	1c	7,642$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.27	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	1c	7,300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.58	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	1c	6,175$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.62	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe739…eeb5backed Yes	1c	6,168$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.84	133	17.3%23 W · 110 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa09d…d5a9backed Yes	1c	6,065$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.25	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x884b…c61bbacked Yes	1c	6,015$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.91	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	1c	6,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.73	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	1c	5,666$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	1c	5,276$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.26	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	1c	5,032$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d47…0ed2backed Yes	1c	4,800$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	1c	4,683$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.46	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	1c	4,645$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.83	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	1c	4,526$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.63	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4f54backed Yes	1c	4,483$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.51	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	1c	4,444$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.04	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab45…fee3backed Yes	0c	4,381$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	1c	4,012$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.28	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	1c	4,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	1c	4,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	1c	3,907$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.47	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	1c	3,900$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.44	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2db…5c9abacked Yes	1c	3,639$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	1c	3,510$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.12	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	1c	3,379$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.61	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459c…7ebcbacked Yes	4c	3,376$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.5	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	1c	3,278$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.84	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	0c	3,046$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea3…36d2backed Yes	0c	3,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	1c	2,948$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ac3…9715backed Yes	1c	2,885$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	2c	2,815$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.86	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d92…4eb8backed Yes	1c	2,810$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.47	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	0c	2,800$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.64	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	2c	2,723$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.29	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	1c	2,685$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.78	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc47b…9843backed Yes	1c	2,627$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	5c	2,501$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08b4…624ebacked Yes	1c	2,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	8.8%11 W · 114 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	1c	2,498$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	7c	2,491$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.61	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	2c	2,333$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.98	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b1a…af71backed Yes	1c	2,325$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	1c	2,300$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99aa…7ca5backed Yes	1c	2,256$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e39…dfd9backed Yes	1c	2,220$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-68%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	2c	2,152$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.03	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	2,100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	2,052$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.47	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	1c	2,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	1c	2,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	1c	1,978$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.33	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43a2…5a68backed Yes	1c	1,965$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe479…2133backed Yes	2c	1,959$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd427…05adbacked Yes	2c	1,852$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.4	265	16.6%44 W · 221 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbc0…456bbacked Yes	1c	1,801$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	1c	1,799$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	1c	1,680$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf2…f130backed Yes	1c	1,660$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.62	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	2c	1,614$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc7f…665cbacked Yes	1c	1,551$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.51	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	3c	1,538$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,528$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.52	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	1,451$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	77	27.3%21 W · 56 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	4c	1,415$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.06	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4958…f548backed Yes	1c	1,339$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	1c	1,285$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.23	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	4c	1,276$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.43	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	1c	1,208$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.13	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a67…00f7backed Yes	1c	1,160$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.73	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+57%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4986…6996backed Yes	2c	990.46$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.95	141	24.1%34 W · 107 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	4c	964.76$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.03	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d37…2f72backed Yes	1c	942.43$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-20%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	4c	917.76$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.69	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeca2…20e6backed Yes	3c	787.21$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.45	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14cf…d019backed Yes	5c	653.32$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.53	78	11.5%9 W · 69 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5864…76b9backed Yes	4c	629.33$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f6…db6fbacked Yes	8c	583.62$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	4c	552$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.07	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacb9…0754backed Yes	6c	500$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.75	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1406…3637backed Yes	2c	482.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f5…f796backed Yes	3c	445.61$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	94	12.8%12 W · 82 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc336…1c3cbacked Yes	3c	431.87$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.48	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event