Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa10aaf126d15a27a8378bc22a57d977c2738b2fdd6562f2ff6d8a4d9af4ddf16

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,487,067
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,041,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,487,067 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 715 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	7c	43,064$2,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,875.74	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	15c	31,364$4,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,646.8	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	20c	28,960$5,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,771.1	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	11c	26,752$2,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,949.33	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	20,341$1,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,648.1	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	9c	17,292$1,476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,476.43	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f83…2276backed Yes	13c	15,898$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	11c	15,704$1,786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,785.56	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	10c	15,634$1,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,507.21	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459c…7ebcbacked Yes	15c	14,594$2,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,252.67	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	7c	14,040$1,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,008.85	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Yes	21c	12,336$2,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,576.17	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	11,687$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.38	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	15c	11,008$1,657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,656.84	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	26c	10,664$2,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,760.48	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	0c	10,212$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	14c	10,185$1,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,455.61	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	72c	10,144$7,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,881.99	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	8c	8,815$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.53	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	7c	8,765$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.04	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	20c	8,163$1,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,656.11	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	8c	7,853$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.21	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	4c	6,700$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.18	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes	14c	6,416$877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$876.64	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	21c	6,217$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,289.72	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	9c	6,093$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	8c	6,010$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.17	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	12c	5,864$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.35	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	16c	5,592$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$893.38	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…a1e2backed No	64c	5,294$3,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,905.91	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	9c	5,194$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.39	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	5c	5,075$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.3	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	17c	5,031$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.5	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No	79c	4,975$3,911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063.78	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f6…db6fbacked Yes	9c	4,908$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.55	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	24c	4,814$1,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.31	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcc7…1af9backed Yes	30c	4,702$1,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,425.92	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a16…1c67backed No	62c	4,675$2,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,795.21	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	4,637$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.86	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	15c	4,613$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.85	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	6c	4,406$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.16	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	15c	4,373$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.21	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0c…1605backed No	64c	4,342$2,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,563	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	2c	4,335$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e9c…9a07backed Yes	5c	4,274$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.67	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	17c	4,237$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729.72	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…5078backed Yes	3c	4,205$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.89	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	10c	4,200$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.3	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd77c…7774backed Yes	3c	4,190$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc94…5204backed Yes	12c	4,071$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5864…76b9backed Yes	10c	4,038$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.04	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	4c	4,027$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	8c	4,016$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.24	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	5c	4,007$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.91	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	2c	4,006$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.25	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	14c	3,965$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.72	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	9c	3,961$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.9	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	11c	3,924$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.07	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d23…cdabbacked Yes	3c	3,920$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	10c	3,886$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.32	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	9c	3,767$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.21	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca2…20e6backed Yes	10c	3,661$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.72	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	13c	3,644$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.29	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes	1c	3,614$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.49	143	8.4%12 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	6c	3,422$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.28	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	7c	3,401$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.72	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d49…9601backed Yes	14c	3,331$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	5c	3,319$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.43	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	17c	3,265$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.76	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	23c	3,261$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	4c	3,100$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.1	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Yes	11c	3,046$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.65	102	7.8%8 W · 94 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb831…892bbacked Yes	16c	3,031$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.03	179	17.9%32 W · 147 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-40%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	74c	3,009$2,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.67	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	3c	3,002$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.85	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	2c	3,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	7c	2,992$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.97	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes	6c	2,989$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.56	56	19.6%11 W · 45 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82f7…7c3bbacked Yes	2c	2,988$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	7c	2,946$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.41	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	4c	2,917$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.38	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked Yes	8c	2,907$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.48	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb638…8206backed No	61c	2,875$1,751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,124.13	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+64.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	8c	2,809$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.8	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	19c	2,808$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.59	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	15c	2,788$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.04	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dcf…1555backed Yes	32c	2,784$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.69	10	30%3 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	7c	2,731$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes	11c	2,726$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.86	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2bf…66c7backed Yes	26c	2,691$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.96	96	28.1%27 W · 69 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	26c	2,662$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ab8…3e81backed Yes	22c	2,565$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.03	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed Yes	6c	2,541$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	13c	2,427$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.31	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	13c	2,425$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd693…bf26backed Yes	10c	2,419$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.83	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Yes	5c	2,348$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.68	233	21%49 W · 184 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	5c	2,338$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.54	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event